SiS Mobile Holdings' (HKG:1362) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
SiS Mobile Holdings' (HKG:1362) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
The subdued market reaction suggests that SiS Mobile Holdings Limited's (HKG:1362) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
市场反应温和,表明新龙移动控股有限公司(HKG:1362)最近的盈利并没有什么意外。我们的分析显示,除了软盈利数字外,投资者还应注意一些其他数字上的潜在弱点。
Zooming In On SiS Mobile Holdings' Earnings
聚焦新龙移动控股的盈利
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者没有听说过现金流的权责发生制比率,但实际上它是一个衡量公司在一定时期内利润受自由现金流(FCF)支持程度的有用指标。该权责发生制比率将给定期间的自由现金流从利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在此期间的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少是不受自由现金流支持的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当一个公司有一个负的应计比率时,实际上是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率是正的,那就是一件坏事。虽然有一个正的应计比率并不是一个问题,表明了一定程度的非现金利润,但高的应计比率则是一个坏事,因为它表明纸上的利润不与现金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的论文,“应计比率更高的公司未来的盈利能力往往更低。”
SiS Mobile Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to June 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$6.6m despite its profit of HK$8.42m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was HK$47m a year ago though, so SiS Mobile Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for SiS Mobile Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
截至2024年6月,新龙移动控股的应计比率为0.23。因此我们可以推断,其自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润。在过去的十二个月内,尽管其利润为842万港元,但实际上其自由现金流是负的,流出了660万港元。尽管如上所述,一年前我们看到自由现金流为4700万港元,所以新龙移动控股至少曾经能够在过去产生正面的自由现金流。新龙移动控股股东的一个积极因素是,其应计比率去年明显较好,这表明它可能在未来恢复更强大的现金转化。如果情况确实如此,股东应寻求当年改善的现金流与利润之间的关系。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SiS Mobile Holdings.
请注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对新龙移动控股的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On SiS Mobile Holdings' Profit Performance
关于新龙移动控股的利润表现我们的看法
SiS Mobile Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that SiS Mobile Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, SiS Mobile Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
在过去一年里,新龙移动控股并没有将大部分利润转化为自由现金流,这可能被一些投资者认为是相当不佳的。因此,我们认为新龙移动控股的法定利润可能优于其基础盈利能力。遗憾的是,其每股收益在过去十二个月下降了。当然,在分析其盈利能力时,我们只是触及到了表面;人们也可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等因素。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意涉及的风险。例如,新龙移动控股有4个警示信号(还有一个我们认为不太好),我们认为您应该了解。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of SiS Mobile Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我们放大了一个单一的数据点,以更好地了解新龙移动控股的利润性质。但是,如果您能专注于细节,总有更多的发现。有些人认为高净资产收益率是质量良好企业的一个好迹象。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高净资产收益率公司集合,或是这个持有大量内部股票的股票清单对您有用。
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