Forward Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORD) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 43% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Forward Industries as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Forward Industries Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Forward Industries over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Forward Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Forward Industries?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Forward Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 15% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.4% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Forward Industries' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does Forward Industries' P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite Forward Industries' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Forward Industries revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Forward Industries you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
If you're unsure about the strength of Forward Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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