Despite an already strong run, Soochow Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601555) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Although its price has surged higher, Soochow Securities' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Soochow Securities as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Soochow Securities.
How Is Soochow Securities' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Soochow Securities would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 27% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Soochow Securities is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Soochow Securities' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Soochow Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Soochow Securities that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Soochow Securities. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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