Be Wary Of Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) And Its Returns On Capital
Be Wary Of Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) And Its Returns On Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
您知道有一些财务指标可以提供潜在翻倍的线索吗?首先,我们想要确定资本雇用的回报率(ROCE)正在增长,然后同时,资本雇用的基础也在不断增加。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色商业模式和许多有利可图的再投资机会的公司。基于这一点,当我们看到东方航空物流(SHSE:601156)及其ROCE趋势时,并没有让我们感到非常满意。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
资本雇用回报率(ROCE)是什么?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Eastern Air Logistics, this is the formula:
对于那些不了解的人,ROCE是衡量公司每年税前利润(其回报)与企业中资本雇用相关性的指标。要为东方航空物流计算此指标,这是公式:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。
0.15 = CN¥3.5b ÷ (CN¥28b - CN¥4.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
0.15 = 350亿人民币 ÷ (2800亿人民币 - 43亿人民币)(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。
So, Eastern Air Logistics has an ROCE of 15%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.0% generated by the Logistics industry.
因此,东方航空物流的ROCE为15%。单独看,这是一个标准的回报,但比物流行业所创造的7.0%要好得多。
In the above chart we have measured Eastern Air Logistics' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Eastern Air Logistics .
在上面的图表中,我们测量了东部航空物流之前的ROCE与其之前的绩效,但未来可能更为重要。如果您感兴趣,可以查看分析师对东部航空物流的预测,我们的东部航空物流免费分析师报告。
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
尽管如此,当我们看 enphase energy (纳斯达克股票代码:ENPH) 的时候,它似乎并没有完全符合这些要求。
In terms of Eastern Air Logistics' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 27% over the last five years. However it looks like Eastern Air Logistics might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
就东部航空物流的历史ROCE波动而言,趋势并不太好。具体来说,ROCE在过去五年中下降了27%。然而,东部航空物流可能正在进行长期增长的再投资,因为尽管资本投入增加了,但公司的销售在过去12个月中并没有太大变化。公司可能需要一些时间,才能开始从这些投资中看到盈利的变化。
On a side note, Eastern Air Logistics has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
顺便提一下,东部航空物流已经成功地将其流动负债降至总资产的15%。因此,我们可以将部分原因归因于ROCE的下降。实际上,这意味着他们的供应商或短期债权人为企业提供的资金较少,从而降低了某些风险因素。有人会认为,这降低了企业通过自有资金进行经营的效率,因为现在更多地用自己的资金支持运营。
The Bottom Line
还有一件事需要注意的是,我们已经确定了上海医药的2个警告信号,了解这些信号应该成为你的投资过程的一部分。
To conclude, we've found that Eastern Air Logistics is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last three years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
总之,我们发现东部航空物流正在对业务进行再投资,但回报率正在下降。此外,股票在过去三年对股东的总回报一直保持平稳,这并不太令人意外。总体而言,我们对潜在趋势并不太感到振奋,并认为在其他地方可能会有更好的机会找到多倍收益股。
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Eastern Air Logistics that you might find interesting.
另外,我们发现了一个面临东方航空物流的1个警示标志,您可能会感兴趣。
While Eastern Air Logistics isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
虽然华东物流没有赚取最高的回报,但请查看这份高回报且财务状况良好的公司的免费列表。
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