We Think Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd (SHSE:600550) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd (SHSE:600550) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Baoding Tianwei Baobian Electric Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600550) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得很好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,显而易见您需要考虑债务,当您考虑任何给定股票的风险时,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们可以看到保变电气股份有限公司(SHSE:600550)在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务产生了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以合理价格筹集资本来轻松履行债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债才会有风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以接管企业。然而,一个更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价募集新的股权资本,从而持续稀释股东权益。当然,负债的优点在于其往往代表着廉价的资本,尤其是当它替代具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑负债水平时,我们首先考虑现金和负债水平的总和。
How Much Debt Does Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd Carry?
保变电气Ltd的债务有多重?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd had CN¥2.29b of debt, up from CN¥1.52b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥561.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.73b.
如下所示,在2024年6月底,保变电气有22.9亿人民币的债务,比一年前的15.2亿人民币增加。点击图片查看更多细节。另一方面,公司有56140万人民币现金,导致净债务约17.3亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's Balance Sheet?
保变电气有多健康的资产表?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.23b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥917.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥561.4m and CN¥2.30b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥3.29b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,保变电气有着年内到期的人民币52.3亿的负债,以及之后到期的人民币91700万的负债。另一方面,它拥有年内到期的人民币56140万的现金和23亿的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的组合多出了32.9亿人民币。
Since publicly traded Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥18.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
由于公开交易的保变电气股票总价值为人民币180亿,这种水平的负债似乎不太可能构成主要威胁。话虽如此,明显我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以防恶化。资产负债表显然是您分析债务时要关注的重点领域。但您不能孤立地看待债务;因为保变电气将需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,值得关注盈利趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。
Over 12 months, Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd reported revenue of CN¥4.0b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在12个月内,保变电气报告了400亿人民币的营业收入,增长20%,尽管未报告任何利息和税前收入。希望公司有望实现盈利增长。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Despite the top line growth, Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥1.9m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥143m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管销售额增长,保变电气在过去一年中仍出现了利息和税前收入(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在EBIT层面上亏损了190万人民币。当我们看到这一点并回想起资产负债表上的负债情况,相对于现金,我们认为该公司持有任何债务都不明智。坦率地说,我们认为其资产负债表还远未达到实质配合,尽管可能会随着时间而改善。例如,我们不希望看到去年损失1.43亿人民币再次发生。因此,我们认为这只股票是相当有风险的。资产负债表显然是您分析债务时要关注的重点领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 绝非如此。我们已经发现了一项对保变电气的警示标志,了解它们应成为您投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。
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