Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry (SZSE:300891) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry (SZSE:300891) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300891) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久损失的可能性... 我认识的每位实际投资者都在担心这个。' 所以看起来明智的资金知道,债务 - 通常涉及破产 - 是评估公司风险水平时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,广东惠云钛业股份有限公司(深证:300891)在业务中确实使用债务。但股东们应该担心公司使用债务吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
在企业用新的资本或自由现金流偿还之前,债务对企业有帮助。最终,如果企业不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是企业必须以廉价的股价稀释股东权益,以控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是企业合理地管理其债务并使其对自己有利。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将现金和债务一起考虑。
What Is Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry's Net Debt?
广东惠云钛业的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry had CN¥962.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥814.5m, over one year. However, it also had CN¥189.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥773.0m.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,广东惠云钛业的债务为96270万人民币,比去年的81450万人民币增加。然而,它也有18960万人民币的现金,净债务为77300万人民币。
How Strong Is Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry's Balance Sheet?
广东惠云钛业的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry had liabilities of CN¥913.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥526.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥189.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥370.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥880.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,广东惠云钛业到期的负债为人民币91370万,到期超过一年的负债为人民币52690万。 抵消这些义务的是,它持有涉及12个月内到期的人民币18960万现金以及37070万应收账款。 因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多了人民币88040万。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry has a market capitalization of CN¥3.54b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
虽然这看起来很多,但并不那么糟糕,因为广东惠云钛业的市值为人民币35.4亿,因此,如果需要,它可能通过增加资本来加强其资产负债表。 但很明显,我们绝对应该密切审查它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过查看净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比以及计算其利息支出由收益前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖的程度来度量一家公司的债务负载相对于其收益能力的程度。此方法的优点在于我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(以净债务为EBITDA)以及与该债务相关的实际利息支出(以其利息覆盖倍数计算)。
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2, it's fair to say Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.9 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. We also note that Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥43m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
净债务与EBITDA比率为6.2,可以说广东惠云钛业确实有相当大额的债务。 但好消息是,它拥有相当令人宽慰的6.9倍利息保障倍数,表明它可以负责地履行其义务。 我们还注意到,广东惠云钛业将其EBIt从去年亏损转为盈利,盈利额为人民币4300万。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但广东惠云钛业的收入将影响资产负债表未来的表现。 因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收入的信息,值得查看其长期收入趋势的图表。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,检查其利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为实际自由现金流的比例是很重要的。在过去一年中,惠云钛业的自由现金流显示出明显的负增长。尽管投资者无疑希望这种情况会在不久的将来扭转,但这显然意味着它的债务使用更加冒险。
Our View
我们的观点
To be frank both Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Guangdong Huiyun Titanium Industry is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those can't be ignored...
坦率地说,无论是惠云钛业的净债务至息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)比,还是其将EBIT转化为自由现金流的历史记录,都让我们对其债务水平感到不安。但值得一提的是,其利息覆盖率是一个好迹象,这让我们更加乐观。当我们综合考虑以上所有因素时,我们认为惠云钛业的债务使其变得有点冒险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们会谨慎考虑潜在的风险,所以我们可能更倾向于减少债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中可以了解到关于债务的大部分信息。但最终,每家公司都可能承担资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,根据我们的投资分析,惠云钛业展示出4个警示信号,其中3个是不容忽视的...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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