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We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think NIKE (NYSE:NKE) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我们认为耐克(纽交所:NKE)可以轻松管理其债务
Simply Wall St ·  10/07 09:13

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,耐克公司(纽约证券交易所代码:NKE)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is NIKE's Debt?

耐克的债务是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NIKE had US$9.01b in debt in August 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$10.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.28b net cash.

您可以点击下图以获取更多详细信息,该图表显示,耐克在2024年8月的债务为90.1亿美元;与前一年大致相同。但它也有103亿美元的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为12.8亿美元。

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NYSE:NKE Debt to Equity History October 7th 2024
纽约证券交易所:NKE 债务与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 10 月 7 日

How Healthy Is NIKE's Balance Sheet?

耐克的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, NIKE had liabilities of US$10.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$13.3b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$10.3b and US$4.76b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$8.87b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,耐克的负债为106亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为133亿美元。另一方面,它有103亿美元的现金和价值47.6亿美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出88.7亿美元。

Since publicly traded NIKE shares are worth a very impressive total of US$123.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, NIKE also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于公开交易的耐克股票总价值为123亿美元,非常可观,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管耐克确实有值得注意的负债,但它的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

The good news is that NIKE has increased its EBIT by 9.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NIKE can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

好消息是,耐克在十二个月内将其息税前利润增长了9.2%,这应该可以缓解对债务偿还的任何担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定耐克能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While NIKE has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, NIKE recorded free cash flow worth 80% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管耐克的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在最近三年中,耐克记录的自由现金流占其息税前利润的80%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about NIKE's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$1.28b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$6.6b, being 80% of its EBIT. So we don't think NIKE's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of NIKE's earnings per share history for free.

我们可以理解投资者是否担心耐克的负债,但我们可以放心,耐克的净现金为12.8亿美元。它以66亿美元的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的80%。因此,我们认为耐克使用债务没有风险。除了大多数其他指标外,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度非常重要。如果你也意识到了这一点,那你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这张耐克每股收益历史的交互式图表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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