Is Enbridge Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold for 2025?
Is Enbridge Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold for 2025?
Amid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve of the United States and solid September employment numbers in the United States, the S&P/TSX Composite Index has increased by over 15% this year. Meanwhile, Enbridge (TSX:ENB), which transports oil and natural gas across North America through a pipeline network, beat the broader equity markets this year with returns of 23.5%. Let's assess whether Enbridge could continue its uptrend next year by looking at its recent performance and growth prospects.
在美国联邦储备委员会降息的背景下,加上美国九月就业数据良好,S&P/tsx复合指数今年已上涨超过15%。与此同时,恩桥(tsx: ENB)通过管道网络在北美运输石油和天然气,在今年以23.5%的回报率击败了更广泛的股票市场。让我们通过查看恩桥最近的表现和增长前景来评估恩桥明年是否能继续上升趋势。
Enbridge's second-quarter performance
恩桥的第二季业绩
Enbridge posted an adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) of $4.3 billion in the June-ending quarter, representing an 8% increase from the previous year's quarter. Solid performance across four segments drove its financials. The Liquids Pipelines and Gas Transmission segments posted 1.1% and 4.7% year-over-year growth, respectively, during the quarter. Meanwhile, the Gas Distribution and Storage and Renewable Power Generation segments posted 54% and 11.4% growth, respectively.
恩桥在截至六月的季度中公布的调整后息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)为$43亿,相比上一年同期增长了8%。该公司的四个部门表现优异,推动了其财务表现。液体管道和天然气输送部门在该季度分别实现了1.1%和4.7%的同比增长。与此同时,天然气分配和存储以及可再生能源发电部门分别实现了54%和11.4%的增长。
The company overall generated $2.8 billion of cash from its operating activities. Its distributable cash flow of $2.9 billion represents a 3% increase from the previous year's quarter. Further, Enbridge completed the acquisition of Questar Gas Company and Wexpro from Dominion Energy for US$4.3 billion during the quarter. It ended the quarter with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.7. Besides, it had $18 billion of liquidity as of June 30. So, the company's financial position looks healthy. Now, let's look at its growth prospects.
公司总体从营运活动中产生了$28亿现金。其可分配现金流为$29亿,较上一年同期增长了3%。此外,恩桥完成了对来自Dominion Energy的Questar Gas Company和Wexpro的430亿美元收购。该季度结束时,其净债务与EBITDA比率为4.7。此外,截至6月30日,其流动性为180亿美元。因此,该公司的财务状况看起来健康。现在让我们来看看其增长前景。
Enbridge's growth prospects
恩桥的增长前景
Enbridge has continued to expand its utility business by acquiring Public Service Company of North Carolina from Dominion Energy. With this acquisition, the company completed the acquisition of three natural gas utility assets in the United States, which it had announced last year. These acquisitions would also make Enbridge North America's largest natural gas utility company. Besides, these acquisitions would lower its business risks due to the increased contribution from low-risk, regulated businesses.
恩桥一直在通过收购来自Dominion Energy的北卡罗来纳公共服务公司来扩大其公用事业业务。通过这项收购,该公司完成了去年宣布的对美国三家天然气公用事业资产的收购。这些收购还将使恩桥成为北美最大的天然气公用事业公司。此外,这些收购将降低其业务风险,因为来自低风险、受监管的业务的贡献增加了。
Further, Enbridge is also continuing with its $24 billion secured capital program, expanding its midstream, utility, and renewable assets. Meanwhile, the company expects to invest around $6–$7 billion of capital this year, putting around $4 billion of projects into service. These growth initiatives could boost its financials in the coming quarters, thus making growth prospects look healthy.
此外,恩桥还将继续实施价值240亿美元的获批资本计划,扩大其中游、公用事业和可再生能源资产。同时,该公司预计今年将投资约60-70亿美元的资本,投入约40亿美元的项目投入使用。这些增长举措可能在未来几个季度提振其财务状况,从而使增长前景看起来健康。
Dividends and valuation
分红派息和估值
Enbridge operates a highly regulated midstream energy business, with regulated cost-of-service and long-term, take-or-pay contracts generating around 98% of its cash flows. Also, its inflation-indexed adjusted EBITDA shields its financials from rising prices, thus delivering stable and predictable cash flows. Supported by these healthy cash flows, the company has paid dividends for 69 years and increased its dividends for the last 29 years at an annualized rate of 10%. ENB currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.915/share, translating into a forward yield of 6.7%.
恩桥经营着一个受到高度监管的中游能源业务,受管制成本服务和长期的收入保证合同产生约98%的现金流。此外,其通货膨胀调整后的税前息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)保护其财务状况免受物价上涨的影响,从而提供稳定和可预测的现金流。在这些健康的现金流支持下,该公司已连续69年支付股息,并在过去的29年中以年化10%的速度增加了股息。ENb目前每股支付0.915美元的季度股息,对应的前瞻性收益率为6.7%。
Despite solid buying this year, Enbridge continues to trade at an attractive valuation, with its NTM (next 12 months) price-to-earnings multiple at 18.7.
尽管今年出现了坚挺的买入情况,恩桥仍然以有吸引力的估值交易,其未来12个月(NTm)的市盈率为18.7。
Investors' takeaway
投资者的收获
The central banks of the United States and Canada have slashed their benchmark interest rates and could continue with their monetary easing initiatives. Given Enbridge's capital-intensive business, falling interest rates could lower its interest expenses, thus boosting its financials in the coming quarters. Considering all these factors, I believe investors can buy Enbridge right now and hold onto it next year to reap superior returns.
美国和加拿大的央行已降低了其基准利率,并可能继续实施货币宽松政策。考虑到恩桥资本密集型的业务,利率下降可能会降低其利息支出,从而在未来几个季度提振其财务状况。考虑到所有这些因素,我认为投资者现在可以买入恩桥,明年持有,获得更优异的回报。