Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Lesi Group (HKG:2540)
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Lesi Group (HKG:2540)
Despite Lesi Group Limited's (HKG:2540) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.
尽管乐思集团有限公司(HKG:2540)最近的收益报告所呈现的头条数字平平,市场反应却积极。我们认为股东们可能忽略了一些我们分析发现的令人担忧的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Lesi Group's Earnings
审视Lesi Group的现金流与收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,现金流量的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利状况匹配程度的重要指标。要获得应计比率,我们首先要将某个时期的FCF从盈利中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司多少盈利没有由自由现金流备支。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,当公司的应计负债比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计负债比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计负债比率为正不是问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高应计负债比率可以说是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计负债比率往往导致利润较低或利润增长较少。
Lesi Group has an accrual ratio of 0.26 for the year to June 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥58m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥64.1m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥58m, this year, indicates high risk.
截至2024年6月,乐思集团的应计比率为0.26。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流显著低于其公布的利润。在过去一年中,实际上其自由现金流为人民币5800万,与前述利润人民币6410万形成对比。考虑到去年负的自由现金流情况,我们想一些股东可能会担心,今年的现金烧损5800万人民币是否意味着高风险。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lesi Group.
备注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表实力。点击这里查看我们对乐思集团资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Lesi Group's Profit Performance
我们对乐思集团的利润表现进行了分析
Lesi Group didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Lesi Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 8.2% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Lesi Group (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
乐思集团去年未将其利润大部分转化为自由现金流,这可能被一些投资者认为相当不理想。因此,我们认为乐思集团的法定利润可能优于其潜在盈利能力。尽管如此,值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年增长了8.2%。当然,在分析其收益时,我们只是揭开了冰山一角;一个人还可以考虑边际利润、预测增长以及投资回报率等其他因素。因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,重要的是考虑它所面临的任何风险。为此,您应该了解我们发现的与乐思集团有关的2个警示信号(其中一个可能有些令人担忧)。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Lesi Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
本注意仅涉及揭示乐思集团利润性质的一个因素。但如果您能够聚焦细枝末节,总会有更多发现。一些人认为高净资产收益率是优质业务的一个良好迹象。虽然您可能需要做些研究,但您可能会发现这些高净资产收益率的公司集合或持有大量内部持股的股票清单有用。
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