Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings (HKG:1809) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings (HKG:1809) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Prinx Chengshan Holdings Limited (HKG:1809) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录在谈到“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是是否会遭受到永久性的资本损失”时毫不掩饰。考虑一家公司的资产负债表以判断其风险程度是理所当然的,因为企业破产时通常涉及债务。我们可以看到浦林成山控股有限公司(HKG:1809)在业务中使用债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让公司变得更加具风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么就会受到他们的支配。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因贷款人迫使它们以降低价格筹集资本而导致持续性地稀释股东的资产。当然,债务对于企业来说是一个重要的工具,特别是对于有定价能力的企业来说。考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,需要做的第一件事是看它的现金和债务情况。
How Much Debt Does Prinx Chengshan Holdings Carry?
浦林成山控股承担了多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had CN¥868.8m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥1.77b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥432.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥436.0m.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但显示浦林成山控股在2024年6月的债务为86880万人民币,比一年前的17.7亿人民币有所减少。然而,它确实拥有43270万人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约为43600万人民币。
How Strong Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings' Balance Sheet?
浦林成山控股的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.05b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥521.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥432.7m and CN¥2.52b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.62b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,浦林成山控股的短期到期负债为人民币40.5亿,超过一年到期负债为人民币52170万。 另一方面,其现金为人民币43270万,短期应收账款为人民币25.2亿。 因此,其负债总额为16.2亿人民币,比其现金和短期应收款项合计多。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
尽管这可能看起来很多,但由于浦林成山控股的市值为人民币52.5亿,因此如果需要的话,它可能通过增加资本来加强其资产负债表。 但显然,我们绝对应该密切审查其是否能够管理债务而不被稀释。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。
Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.20. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 29.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Prinx Chengshan Holdings grew its EBIT by 188% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prinx Chengshan Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
浦林成山控股的净债务与EBITDA比率仅为0.20。 其EBIT轻松覆盖利息支出,是其29.4倍大小。 因此,你可以认为它受到债务威胁的程度不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。 更令人印象深刻的是,浦林成山控股过去十二个月将其EBIT增长了188%。 如果继续保持这种增长,债务在未来几年中将变得更易管理。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最多可以了解债务。 但更重要的是未来收入,而不是任何其他因素,将决定浦林成山控股能否保持健康的资产负债表。 因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Prinx Chengshan Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务; 它需要现金。 因此,我们显然需要查看EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。 在过去的三年中,浦林成山控股的自由现金流占其EBIT的37%,低于我们的预期。 就还债而言,这并不理想。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Prinx Chengshan Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Prinx Chengshan Holdings is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Prinx Chengshan Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
好消息是,浦林成山控股展示了用其EBIT覆盖利息支出的能力,就像一只蓬松小狗让幼儿快乐一样。但更为严肃的是,我们对其将EBIT转化为自由现金流的做法有些担忧。当考虑上述因素的范围时,浦林成山控股在运用债务方面似乎非常明智。尽管这带来一些风险,但也可以提升股东的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多关于债务的内容。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中-远非如此。请注意,我们的投资分析显示浦林成山控股展示了1个警示信号,您应该知晓...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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