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Earnings Growth of 1.1% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 1.1% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Patterson Companies (NASDAQ:PDCO) Shareholders

帕特森公司(纳斯达克:PDCO)股东们,过去3年来1.1%的盈利增长并不足以转化为正面回报。
Simply Wall St ·  10/08 09:13

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Patterson Companies, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCO) shareholders, since the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 25%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 31% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 13% in the last three months.

作为投资者,努力确保整体投资组合的表现超过市场平均水平是值得的。但是股票选择的风险在于您可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,长期持有帕特森公司(NASDAQ:PDCO)股票的股东们就遇到了这种情况,因为股价在过去三年下跌了38%,远远低于约25%的市场回报。而最近的买家们也遇到了困难,过去一年下跌了31%。最近股价的跌幅加剧,过去三个月内下跌了13%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但被证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是看一个公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的交互作用。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Patterson Companies actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股价下跌期间,帕特森公司的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长3.5%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能怀疑EPS在该期间并不是业绩的良好指标(可能是因为一次性损益)。另外,过去的增长预期可能是不切实际的。

It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

认为市场过去对该股过于看好,并且此后调整了预期是相当合理的。但检查其他指标可能是有启迪性的。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. Patterson Companies has maintained its top line over three years, so we doubt that has shareholders worried. So it might be worth looking at how revenue growth over time, in greater detail.

鉴于分红派息的可持续性,我们怀疑它们是否受到市场关注。 帕特森公司在过去三年内保持了其营业收入水平,因此我们怀疑股东是否感到担忧。 因此,值得更详细地查看营业收入的时间增长。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

你可以在下面的图片中看到收入和营业收入随时间的变化情况(单击图表可查看精确值)。

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NasdaqGS:PDCO Earnings and Revenue Growth October 8th 2024
纳斯达克:PDCO 盈利和营业收入增长2024年10月8日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表强度至关重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Patterson Companies, it has a TSR of -31% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要考虑总股东回报以及股价回报,对于任何给定的股票。 TSR是一种回报计算,它考虑了现金股息的价值(假设任何收到的股息都是再投资的)以及任何折现资本募集和剥离价值的计算。 可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。就帕特森公司而言,过去3年内其TSR为-31%。 这超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。 毫无疑问,分红派息在很大程度上解释了这种差距!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Investors in Patterson Companies had a tough year, with a total loss of 29% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 32%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Patterson Companies (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .

帕特森公司的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总损失达到29%(包括分红),而市场收益约为32%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间里表现不佳。从积极的一面来看,长期股东赚了钱,五年半内年均增长7%。如果基本数据继续显示长期可持续增长,目前的抛售可能是值得考虑的机会。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的一种替代指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们在帕特森公司发现的3个警示信号(其中有2个有点不愉快)。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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