Tecnon Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300650) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 39% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 3.4% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Tecnon Electronics as a stock to avoid entirely with its 53.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Tecnon Electronics has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tecnon Electronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Tecnon Electronics' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 84% gain to the company's bottom line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 65% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Tecnon Electronics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Tecnon Electronics' P/E
The strong share price surge has got Tecnon Electronics' P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Tecnon Electronics currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Tecnon Electronics (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Tecnon Electronics. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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