Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's (SHSE:603871) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the 61% YoY Shareholder Returns
Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's (SHSE:603871) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the 61% YoY Shareholder Returns
It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. To wit, the Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603871) share price has flown 294% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. It's also up 36% in about a month. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 25% in the last thirty days.
买股票(不使用杠杆)可能看起来很糟糕,但最糟糕的情况就是其股价跌至零。但如果你买入一家真正优秀的公司的股票,你可以将你的资金增加一倍以上。举例来说,嘉友国际物流股份有限公司(SHSE:603871)的股价在过去三年飙升了294%。大多数人都会对此感到满意。它在大约一个月内也上涨了36%。但股价很可能受益于一个繁荣的市场,因为股票在过去三十天中上涨了25%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
沃伦·巴菲特在他的论文《格雷厄姆-道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间变化的变化,我们可以了解到投资者对某家公司的态度如何随时间而变化。
Jiayou International LogisticsLtd was able to grow its EPS at 42% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 58% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
嘉友国际物流股份有限公司过去三年成功以每年42%的速度增长其每股收益,推动股价上涨。相比之下,股价每年增长58%,超过了每股收益的增长。这表明市场对该股持有更加乐观的态度,经过过去几年的进展。在几年的增长之后,看到市场“重新评估”股票并不罕见。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
It is of course excellent to see how Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
看到嘉友国际物流有些年来利润增长当然是非常好的,但对于股东来说未来更为重要。免费报告中它的财务状况如何随时间变化可能值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Jiayou International LogisticsLtd, it has a TSR of 320% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。而股价回报仅反映股价的变化,TSR包括分红的价值(假设重新投资)以及任何折让资本筹集或分拆的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。在嘉友国际物流Ltd的情况下,过去3年TSR为320%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫不奇怪,股息支付很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We're pleased to report that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 93% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd you should be aware of.
我们很高兴地报告,嘉友国际物流Ltd股东在过去一年中获得了93%的总股东回报。这包括股息在内。这比过去半个-decade的年化回报34%要好,意味着公司最近表现更好。在最理想的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务动力,这可能是深入了解的好时机。我觉得长期内关注股价作为业绩的一种代理非常有意思。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。举例来说:我们发现嘉友国际物流Ltd有一个警告标志,你应该了解。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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