Recent cuts to interest rates by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve are driving investor funds back into dividend stocks that took a beating when rates rose in 2022 and 2023. Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) investors who missed the bounce are wondering which TSX stocks might still be undervalued for a portfolio focused on dividends and passive income. Here are two.
Telus
Telus (TSX:T) trades near $22 at the time of writing. This is off the 12-month low around $20, but is still significantly under the $34 it reached in 2022.
Telus uses debt to fund its large capital projects, including the expansion of the fibre optic and 5G networks. Higher interest rates drive up borrowing expenses, reducing profits and cutting into cash that can be used for distributions. The sharp increase in interest rates that occurred over such a short period of time is largely responsible for the pullback in the share price. However, Telus has also struggled with declining revenue in its Telus Digital (TSX:TIXT) subsidiary. Price wars in the communications segment have had an impact, as well.
Despite the headwinds, Telus still expects to generate growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2024. Based on this outlook, the stock is probably oversold.
Extensive staff cuts over the past year have reduced expenses. Falling interest rates should provide additional earnings support in 2025. Investors who buy Telus stock at the current level can get a dividend yield of 7%.
TD Bank
TD (TSX:TD) ran into trouble with U.S. regulators in the past year for not having adequate systems in place to detect and prevent money laundering. The Canadian bank has a large retail banking presence in the United States that it built up over the past 20 years through a series of acquisitions.
TD's share price is currently around $86, compared with $108 in early 2022. Some of its Canadian peers are now trading near multi-year highs. Investors have avoided TD stock due to concerns around large penalties and a potential ban on acquisitions in the U.S. market, where TD sees good growth potential.
TD has already set aside more than U$3 billion to cover anticipated fines related to the U.S. investigations. Management has indicated that the company expects this to be adequate once the whole process gets finalized. That suggests there might be light at the end of the tunnel. A total ban on U.S. growth is unlikely. Eventually, TD will get the situation sorted out and should be able to focus once again on expanding the U.S. business.
TD remains very profitable, even with all the distractions. Bargain-hunters started buying TD stock in June around $74. More gains should be on the way once the U.S. uncertainty is clarified. Investors who buy at the current level can get a decent dividend yield of 4.7% and simply wait for the recovery.
The bottom line on top stocks for passive income
Telus and TD pay good dividends that should continue to grow. If you have some cash to put to work, these stocks still look oversold and deserve to be on your radar.
加拿大银行和美联储最近下调的利率正在推动投资者资金重返股息股,这些股票在2022年和2023年利率上升时受到冲击。错过反弹的免税储蓄账户(TFSA)投资者想知道,对于以股息和被动收益为重点的投资组合,哪些多伦多证券交易所股票仍可能被低估。这里有两个。
Telus
在撰写本文时,Telus(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:T)的交易价格接近22美元。这低于20美元左右的12个月低点,但仍大大低于2022年触及的34美元。
Telus使用债务为其大型资本项目提供资金,包括光纤和5G网络的扩张。更高的利率推高了借贷费用,减少了利润,减少了可用于分配的现金。在如此短的时间内发生的利率急剧上升是股价回调的主要原因。但是,Telus也一直在为其Telus Digital(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:TIXT)子公司收入下降而苦苦挣扎。通信领域的价格战也产生了影响。
尽管存在不利因素,但Telus仍预计2024年调整后的扣除利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA)将实现增长。根据这一展望,该股可能已超卖。
在过去的一年中,大量裁员减少了开支。利率下降应在2025年提供额外的收益支持。以当前水平购买Telus股票的投资者可以获得7%的股息收益率。
TD Bank
在过去的一年中,TD(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:TD)因没有足够的系统来检测和防止洗钱而与美国监管机构发生了麻烦。这家加拿大银行在过去20年中通过一系列收购在美国建立了庞大的零售银行业务。
道明目前的股价约为86美元,而2022年初的股价为108美元。其一些加拿大同行目前的交易价格接近多年高点。由于担心巨额罚款和可能禁止在美国市场进行收购,投资者避开了道明股票,道明认为美国市场有良好的增长潜力。
道明已经预留了超过30亿美元用于支付与美国调查有关的预期罚款。管理层表示,该公司预计,一旦整个过程完成,这一点就足够了。这表明隧道尽头可能有光明。全面禁止美国增长的可能性不大。最终,TD将理清局面,应该能够再次专注于扩大美国业务。
尽管存在种种干扰,TD仍然非常有利可图。讨价还价者于6月开始在74美元左右买入道明股票。一旦美国的不确定性得到澄清,应该会有更多收益。以当前水平买入的投资者可以获得4.7%的可观股息收益率,只需等待复苏即可。
被动收入的热门股票的底线
Telus和TD支付了丰厚的股息,这些股息应该会继续增长。如果你有一些现金可以使用,这些股票看起来仍然超卖,值得你关注。