ONEOK, Inc.'s (NYSE:OKE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for ONEOK as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think ONEOK's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
ONEOK's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 45% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that ONEOK is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On ONEOK's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that ONEOK currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for ONEOK you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ONEOK, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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