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Canadian Natural Resources Stock on Sale: Why Now's the Time to Invest

Canadian Natural Resources Stock on Sale: Why Now's the Time to Invest

加拿大自然资源股票打折促销:现在是投资的时机
The Motley Fool ·  10/09 16:10

Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) is catching the eye of value investors after its recent acquisition. And yet, it still seems like the stock is on sale. Following the acquisition of Chevron's Alberta oil sands assets, including a 20% interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP), CNQ has positioned itself for significant growth in production and free cash flow. This deal adds long-life, low-decline synthetic crude oil production and increases CNQ's working interest in AOSP to 90%. And yet, the stock still trades at a relatively attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 13.4.

加拿大自然资源部(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:CNQ)在最近的收购后吸引了价值投资者的注意。但是,该股票似乎仍在出售。在收购雪佛龙的艾伯塔省油砂资产,包括阿萨巴斯卡油砂项目(AOSP)20%的权益之后,CNQ已为产量和自由现金流的显著增长做好了准备。这笔交易增加了长寿命、低降幅的合成原油产量,并将CNQ在AOSP的经营权益提高到90%。但是,该股的市盈率(P/E)仍然相对有吸引力,约为13.4。

Rewarding investors

奖励投资者

After the Chevron acquisition, CNQ didn't stop at asset growth. It rewarded its shareholders by increasing its dividend by 7%, continuing its 25-year streak of dividend growth. This kind of dividend reliability is what long-term investors love, especially since CNQ's new assets are expected to generate immediate free cash flow. The company's dividend now stands at an impressive 4.3% forward yield, solidifying it as a top pick for income-focused investors.

雪佛龙收购后,CNQ并没有止步于资产增长。它通过将股息提高7%来奖励股东,延续了其25年的股息增长势头。这种股息可靠性是长期投资者所喜欢的,尤其是因为CNQ的新资产有望立即产生自由现金流。该公司的股息目前达到令人印象深刻的4.3%的远期收益率,巩固了其作为以收益为重点的投资者的首选地位。

While the stock has risen following the news, CNQ's valuation still suggests that it could be undervalued. The forward P/E of 13.4 remains well within a reasonable range, especially when considering the company's fundamentals. CNQ boasts a return on equity (ROE) of 19.7%, which reflects efficient management and profitable operations. Moreover, the company's price-to-book ratio of 2.6 points to a potential discount compared to its peers, especially given its long-life assets and operational expertise in oil sands.

尽管该股在消息传出后上涨,但CNQ的估值仍然表明其估值可能被低估。13.4的远期市盈率仍处于合理的区间内,尤其是在考虑公司的基本面时。CNQ的股本回报率(ROE)为19.7%,这反映了高效的管理和盈利的运营。此外,该公司的市面比率为2.6个百分点,与同行相比可能出现的折扣,特别是考虑到其长期资产和油砂方面的运营专业知识。

Onto earnings

关注收益

Looking deeper into earnings, CNQ stock has been delivering steady quarterly growth, with a 17.2% increase in earnings year over year. Its operating margin of 28.3% and profit margin of 20.9% are strong indicators of the company's ability to manage costs while maintaining solid profitability. With assets like the newly acquired Duvernay play, which is set to ramp up production, CNQ's earnings outlook is increasingly favourable.

纵观收益,CNQ股票一直实现稳定的季度增长,收益同比增长17.2%。其28.3%的营业利润率和20.9%的利润率有力地表明了公司在保持稳健盈利能力的同时管理成本的能力。随着新收购的杜弗奈公司等资产将提高产量,CNQ的收益前景越来越乐观。

Free cash flow is another key component of CNQ stock's value. The company generated $15.3 billion in operating cash flow over the last year and $8.9 billion in levered free cash flow. This positions CNQ to maintain its dividend policy and further reduce debt. This is already manageable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 29.6%. As net debt decreases, more of CNQ stock's free cash flow will go to shareholders, enhancing returns through both dividends and potential buybacks.

自由现金流是CNQ股票价值的另一个关键组成部分。该公司去年创造了153亿美元的运营现金流和89亿美元的杠杆自由现金流。这使CNQ能够维持其股息政策并进一步减少债务。这已经可以控制了,债务与权益比率为29.6%。随着净负债的减少,CNQ股票的更多自由现金流将流向股东,通过分红和潜在的回购提高回报。

Bottom line

底线

Fundamentally, CNQ stock appears to be priced attractively relative to its growth prospects. With the acquisition of Chevron's assets, increased dividend payouts, and a solid earnings trajectory, CNQ looks poised for sustained performance. For investors seeking value in the energy sector, CNQ offers both growth potential and stability. Thus, its current price tag seems like a bargain.

从根本上讲,相对于其增长前景,CNQ股票的价格似乎具有吸引力。随着雪佛龙资产的收购、股息支付的增加以及稳健的盈利轨迹,CNQ看起来已经为持续的表现做好了准备。对于在能源领域寻求价值的投资者,CNQ提供增长潜力和稳定性。因此,它目前的价格似乎很划算。

So while CNQ's stock has seen a bump from its recent asset purchase, its fundamentals suggest that the stock remains undervalued. Considering its long history of dividend growth, increasing cash flow, and strong earnings outlook, CNQ stock looks like a solid pick for investors who want a mix of growth and income in their portfolio.

因此,尽管CNQ的股票因最近的资产购买而受到提振,但其基本面表明该股仍被低估。考虑到其股息增长的悠久历史、不断增加的现金流和强劲的收益前景,CNQ股票对于希望在投资组合中实现增长和收益相结合的投资者来说是一个不错的选择。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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