Pulling Back 7.1% This Week, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's SHSE:600020) Three-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
Pulling Back 7.1% This Week, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's SHSE:600020) Three-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Henan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited (SHSE:600020) share price is up 18% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 11% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 18% in the last year, including dividends.
从股市中获益的一个简单方法是购买指数基金。 但是我们许多人敢于梦想获得更大的回报,并自己建立投资组合。 例如,中原高速公司有限公司(SHSE:600020)股价在过去三年中上涨了18%,明显超过市场下跌约11%(不包括股息)。 然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股票去年的回报仅为18%,包括股息。
While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
尽管过去一周公司的三年回报率有所下降,但让我们看看基础业务的最近趋势,以确定收益是否与之相符。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:“短期市场是一台投票机,但长期市场是一台称重机”。检查市场情绪如何随时间推移变化的一种方式是查看公司股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During the three years of share price growth, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 9.4% per year.
在股价增长的三年内,中原高速实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.4%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评估公司。由于EPS的变化似乎不与股价的变化相关,因此值得关注其他指标。
You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 1.3% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
只能想象长期股东对营业收入下降趋势(每年下滑1.3%)的感受。显而易见的是,历史盈利和营业收入与股价走势并不完全匹配。因此,您可能需要深入挖掘情况。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling Henan Zhongyuan Expressway stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您正在考虑购买或卖出中原高速股票,您应该查看这份免费的详细报告,了解其资产负债表。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Henan Zhongyuan Expressway's TSR for the last 3 years was 27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都已再投资)以及任何折现的增资和剥离的计算值。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。恰好,中原高速过去3年的TSR为27%,超过之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We're pleased to report that Henan Zhongyuan Expressway shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 0.5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Henan Zhongyuan Expressway better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Henan Zhongyuan Expressway you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.
我们很高兴地报告,中原高速公路的股东在一年内收到了18%的总股东回报。 这包括分红派息。 由于一年的TSR优于五年的TSR(后者每年为0.5%),似乎股票的表现在最近有所改善。 一个持乐观态度的人可能会将TSR的最近改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好的迹象。 跟踪股价长期表现总是很有趣。 但要更好地了解中原高速,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如:我们发现中原高速有3个警告信号,您应该注意,其中有2个是重要的。
Of course Henan Zhongyuan Expressway may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,中原高速可能不是最好的股票可购买。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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