Trump Widens Lead Over Harris In Betting Odds On Prediction Markets —Sets A New High On Crypto-Based Polymarket
Trump Widens Lead Over Harris In Betting Odds On Prediction Markets —Sets A New High On Crypto-Based Polymarket
Bets in favor of Trump exceeded 70% when incumbent Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump set an all-time high in presidential betting odds against Vice President Kamala Harris on Polymarket.
共和党总统候选人特朗普在Polymarket对副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯的总统竞选赔率创下历史新高。
What happened: Punters on the so-called decentralized prediction market gave the former President more than a 55% chance of regaining power, up from 49% last week.
在所谓的去中心化预测市场上，投资者认为前总统重新夺权的几率超过55％，比上周的49％有所增加。
Harris' odds have steadily slipped from the majority mark a week earlier to 44% as of this writing.
哈里斯的胜率从一周前的多数派地位稳步下降至44％。
Bets in favor of Trump exceeded 70% when incumbent Joe Biden was in the race. However, Biden's withdrawal from the race and Harris' elevation to the forefront of the Democratic presidential ticket caused a dramatic shift in sentiment.
在现任总统乔拜登参选时，支持特朗普的赌注超过了70％。然而，拜登退出竞选，哈里斯晋升为民主党总统候选人的领头羊，导致情绪发生了戏剧性的转变。
The battle not only became closer, but Harris established a 9-point lead at one point in August.
这场斗争不仅变得更加激烈，哈里斯还在八月间某个时刻确立了9个百分点的领先地位。
A whopping $1.7 billion has been wagered on the outcome, making it the highest betted event on Polymarket.
已经有高达$17亿的赌注下注在这一结果上，使其成为Polymarket中下注额最高的事件。
Why It Matters: Polymarket, built on Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) Layer-2 protocol Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC), has gained prominence as one of the world's top prediction markets for U.S. elections in recent months, though ironically, U.S. users can't access the platform due to federal regulations.
为什么这很重要：Polymarket建立在以太坊（CRYPTO:ETH）的Layer-2协议Polygon（CRYPTO:MATIC）上，作为最近几个月内美国选举中最重要的预测市场之一崭露头角，尽管具有讽刺意味的是，由于联邦法规，美国用户无法访问该平台。
Trump's odds also hit 52% against Harris' 48% on Kalshi, a prediction platform that, unlike Polymarket, is legal in the U.S.
特朗普在Kalshi上的胜算也达到了52％，远远超过了哈里斯的48％，Kalshi是一家预测平台，与Polymarket不同，在美国是合法的。
The flipping followed Tesla CEO Elon Musk's fervent appeal to vote for Trump when the two appeared at a rally last week in Butler, PA.
特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克上周与特朗普概念在巴特勒的集会上露面之后，推特发出了他的热切呼吁。
