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Quiver Morning Markets Wrap: Stocks Fall

Quiver Morning Markets Wrap: Stocks Fall

Quiver晨间市场摘要:股票下跌
Quiver Quantitative ·  10/10 12:28

Wall Street stocks declined on Thursday as hotter-than-expected inflation data for September cast doubt on the Federal Reserve's trajectory for future rate cuts. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% year-over-year, exceeding economists' expectations. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher at 3.3%. This reinforced traders' bets on a 25-basis-point rate hike (TLT) in November, sending major indexes into the red at market open.

周四,随着9月份的通胀数据高于预期,华尔街股市下跌,对于美联储未来降息路径产生了怀疑。消费者价格指数(CPI)按月上涨0.2%,按年增长2.4%,超出经济学家的预期。核心CPI排除了波动较大的食品和能源价格,也以3.3%的较高水平报出。这加强了交易员对11月份进行25个基点利率上调的押注(TLT),在市场开盘时将主要指数拉入下跌。

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) fell by 0.18%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ) dropped by 0.27% and 0.38%, respectively. Rate-sensitive sectors such as Real Estate and Information Technology were particularly hit, with real estate stocks falling 0.6% and tech stocks down 0.5%. Weekly jobless claims also surged, adding to market confusion about the Fed's path forward. Initial claims rose to 258,000, much higher than the anticipated 230,000, complicating the broader economic outlook.

道琼斯指数(DIA)下跌了0.18%,标普500指数(SPY)和纳斯达克指数(QQQ)分别下跌了0.27%和0.38%。房地产和信息科技这样的利率敏感行业受到了特别重创,房地产股下跌了0.6%,科技股下跌了0.5%。周初失业金融索赔也激增,给市场有关美联储未来路径的困惑增加了新的不确定性。首次申领失业救济金上升至258,000,远高于预期的230,000,令更加混乱的经济前景变得更加复杂。

Market Overview:

市场概况:

  • September CPI data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing bets on a November rate hike.
  • Weekly jobless claims jumped to 258,000, missing estimates and adding market uncertainty.
  • The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all posted losses, with rate-sensitive sectors leading declines.
  • 9月CPI数据凸显高于预期,强化了对11月份利率上调的押注。
  • 每周失业金索赔跃升至258,000,低于预期,并增加了市场的不确定性。
  • 道琼斯指数,标普500指数和纳斯达克指数都录得了损失,利率敏感行业领跌。

Key Points:
主要观点:

  • Investors are concerned about the Fed's ability to deliver expected rate cuts amid inflation and labor market data.
  • Delta Air Lines shares dropped 2.1% after missing revenue expectations, dragging down the airline sector.
  • Fed officials are expected to give further remarks later in the day, as markets await clarity on policy direction.
  • 投资者对于美联储在通胀和劳动市场数据之中交差的能力感到担忧,无法如预期地提供降息。
  • 达美航空股价下跌2.1%,营收不及预期,拖累航空公司板块。
  • 预计美联储官员将在当天晚些时候发表进一步讲话,市场期待政策方向明朗。

Looking Ahead:
展望未来:

  • Traders will closely monitor third-quarter earnings, with major banks set to report results soon.
  • Fed policy and upcoming economic data remain central to market movements and investor sentiment.
  • With inflation running hotter than anticipated, the path forward for monetary easing looks increasingly uncertain.
  • 交易员将密切关注第三季度收益,主要银行即将披露业绩。
  • 美联储政策和即将公布的经济数据仍然是市场运动和投资者情绪的核心。
  • 随着通胀率高于预期,货币宽松的前景变得越来越不确定。

Delta Air Lines (DAL) was among the key laggards, falling 2.1% after missing third-quarter revenue estimates and warning of slower travel demand. Other airlines followed suit, with United Airlines (UAL), American Airlines (AAL), and Southwest Airlines (LUV) also posting losses. While inflation remains the central issue driving market sentiment, rising jobless claims are complicating the economic picture, raising questions about the strength of the labor market and the Fed's next move.

达美航空股票(DAL) 是主要表现不佳的股票之一,因第三季度营收低于预期并警告旅行需求放缓而下跌了2.1%。其他航空公司纷纷效仿,联合航空(UAL),美国航空(AAL) 和西南航空(LUV) 也出现亏损。尽管通胀仍然是推动市场情绪的关键问题,不断升高的失业申领正在复杂化经济形势,引发对劳动力市场实力和美联储下一步行动的质疑。

As third-quarter earnings season begins, investors will look to key corporate reports for signs of economic resilience amid the challenging macro backdrop. With expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike growing, markets will remain sensitive to incoming data, particularly as Fed officials continue to make public remarks. Equity markets may continue to face pressure until a clearer picture of the Fed's rate path emerges.

随着第三季度业绩季开始,投资者将寻求主要公司报告中的经济韧性迹象,抵御具有挑战性的宏观背景。 随着人们对25个基础点升息预期增长,市场将继续对即将到来的数据保持敏感,特别是在美联储官员继续发表公开讲话的情况下。股票市场可能会继续面临压力,直到更清晰地看到美联储的利率路径为止。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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