Despite Shrinking by S$298m in the Past Week, SATS (SGX:S58) Shareholders Are Still up 41% Over 1 Year
Despite Shrinking by S$298m in the Past Week, SATS (SGX:S58) Shareholders Are Still up 41% Over 1 Year
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the SATS Ltd. (SGX:S58) share price is 40% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 8.8% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 17% in the last three years.
指数基金 pass 投资可获得的回报差不多与整体市场一致。但投资者可以通过挑选表现优良的公司持有股份来提高回报率。譬如说,新翔集团有限公司(新加坡交易所:S58)的股价比一年前高出40%,远远优于同期大约8.8%的市场回报(不包括分红)。按我们的标准来看,这是表现相当不错的!不幸的是,长期回报并不那么出色,过去三年股价下跌了17%。
While this past week has detracted from the company's one-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
虽然过去一周拖累了公司的一年回报,但让我们看一下基础业务的最近趋势,以查看是否取得了进展。
We don't think that SATS' modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.
我们认为新翔集团目前的过去十二个月的适度利润并没有引起市场的充分关注。我们觉得营业收入可能是更好的参考指标。一般来说,我们认为这种公司更类似于亏损股票,因为实际利润如此之低。未来没有增长的营业收入,很难相信会有更多利润。
Over the last twelve months, SATS' revenue grew by 193%. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. While the share price gain of 40% over twelve months is pretty tasty, you might argue it doesn't fully reflect the strong revenue growth. If that's the case, now might be the time to take a close look at SATS. Human beings have trouble conceptualizing (and valuing) exponential growth. Is that what we're seeing here?
在过去十二个月里,新翔集团的营业收入增长了193%。远高于多数其他尚未实现盈利的公司。虽然过去十二个月股价上涨了40%,看起来相当不错,但你可能会认为这并没有完全反映出强劲的营业收入增长。如果是这种情况,现在或许是仔细研究新翔集团的时候了。人类很难概念(和评估)指数增长。这是我们在这里看到的情况吗?
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
We know that SATS has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling SATS stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
我们知道新翔集团在过去三年里改善了底线,但未来将会怎样呢?如果你正在考虑购买或出售新翔集团的股票,你应该查看一下关于其资产负债表的免费详细报告。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's nice to see that SATS shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 41% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 4% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for SATS you should be aware of.
看到新翔集团股东在过去一年里获得了总股东回报率为41%是件好事。这个数字包括了分红派息。值得注意的是,过去五年的年化总股东回报率每年下跌4%,与最近的股价表现形成了非常不利比较。我们通常更重视长期绩效而非短期绩效,但最近的改善可能暗示着业务内的(积极)拐点。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的一种替代很有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。一个例子就是:我们发现了一项针对新翔集团的1个警示,你应该注意。
But note: SATS may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但注意:新翔集团可能不是最佳股票选择。所以看看这个免费的有过去盈利增长(以及未来增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在新加坡交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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