Gray Television, Inc. (NYSE:GTN) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.9% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Gray Television may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Media industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Gray Television's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Gray Television's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Gray Television's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Gray Television's Revenue Growth Trending?
Gray Television's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.8% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 33% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.5% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.2% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Gray Television's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Gray Television's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Gray Television's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Gray Television's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Gray Television (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gray Television, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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