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China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600482) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600482) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中国动力有限公司(SHSE:600482)的表现不错,但基本面看起来各异:股票有明确的走向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/12 21:06

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's (SHSE:600482) stock is up by 5.5% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. Specifically, we decided to study China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's ROE in this article.

中国动力(SHSE:600482)股票在过去三个月里上涨了5.5%。然而,公司的财务状况看起来有点不一致,市场结果最终由长期基本面驱动,这意味着股票可能朝着任何方向发展。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究中国动力的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power is:

因此,根据上述公式,中国船舶重工集团动力的 ROE 为:

3.0% = CN¥1.4b ÷ CN¥48b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.0% = 14亿人民币 ÷ 480亿人民币(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报”是每年的利润。从一个角度来看,它的意思是针对每1元股东资本,公司创造了0.03元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's Earnings Growth And 3.0% ROE

中国动力的利润增长和3.0%的roe

As you can see, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.0%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's five year net income decline of 12% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

您可以看到,中国动力的roe看起来相当疲弱。 甚至与行业平均roe 7.0%相比,该公司的roe相当低迷。 出于这个原因,考虑到其较低的roe,中国动力五年净利润下降12%并不令人意外。 然而,导致盈利下降的可能还有其他因素。 例如,公司的派息比例非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.7% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将中国动力与行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现在同一5年期间,公司压缩了其利润,而行业的利润增长率为8.7%时,我们感到担忧。

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SHSE:600482 Past Earnings Growth October 13th 2024
SHSE:600482 过去的利润增长 2024年10月13日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是评估股票价值时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者需要了解市场是否已经将公司预期的收益增长(或下降)价格计入其中。通过这样做,他们会知道股票是否即将进入强劲增长期,还是即将面临不景气的时期。预期收益增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,它根据公司的盈利前景决定市场愿意以多少价格购买股票。因此,您可能希望检查中国动力的市盈率相对于其行业而言是高还是低。

Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中国船舶重工集团动力是否有效利用其留存利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管中国动力的三年中位数分红比率为30%(即留存比率为70%),但其盈利却出现下滑这一事实相当令人费解。看起来可能有一些其他原因可以解释这种不足。例如,业务可能处于下滑阶段。

Moreover, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中国动力至少十年或更长时间一直在支付股息,表明管理层可能认为股东更偏爱股息而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们对中国动力的表现有点矛盾。尽管该公司似乎保留了大部分利润,但由于roe较低,投资者可能并没有从所有的再投资中受益。较低的盈利增长也验证了我们的理论。话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现尽管公司过去减少了盈利,分析师们预计公司未来将会增长盈利。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的预期,还是公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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