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Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

牧原股份(SZSE:002714)将希望扭转其回报趋势
Simply Wall St ·  21:52

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Muyuan Foods (SZSE:002714) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

找到一个有潜力大幅增长的企业并不容易,但如果我们关注一些关键的财务指标,是可能的。首先,我们想要确定一个增长的资本雇用回报率(ROCE),然后在此基础上,一个不断增长的资本雇用基础。最终,这表明这是一个正在以增加的投资回报率再投资利润的企业。基于这一点,当我们看了牧原股份(SZSE:002714)及其ROCE趋势时,并不是特别激动。

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

资本雇用回报率(ROCE)是什么?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Muyuan Foods:

对于那些不确定什么是ROCE的人,它衡量的是公司可以从其业务中使用的资本获得的税前利润的数量。分析师使用这个公式为牧原股份计算它:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.03 = CN¥3.0b ÷ (CN¥192b - CN¥92b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.03 = 30亿人民币 ÷ (1920亿人民币 - 92亿人民币)(基于2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

Therefore, Muyuan Foods has an ROCE of 3.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Food industry average of 7.2%.

因此,牧原股份的ROCE为3.0%。最终,这是一个低回报率,表现不及食品行业的平均水平7.2%。

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SZSE:002714 Return on Capital Employed October 13th 2024
SZSE:002714资本雇用回报率2024年10月13日

In the above chart we have measured Muyuan Foods' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Muyuan Foods .

在上面的图表中,我们已经测量了牧原股份之前的ROCE与其之前的表现进行比较,但未来可能更重要。如果您感兴趣,您可以查看我们为牧原股份提供的免费分析师报告中的分析师预测。

The Trend Of ROCE

当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。

We weren't thrilled with the trend because Muyuan Foods' ROCE has reduced by 51% over the last five years, while the business employed 518% more capital. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. Muyuan Foods probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.

我们对这一趋势并不满意,因为在过去五年中,牧原股份的ROCE下降了51%,而业务使用的资本增加了518%。然而,资本增加的一部分可能归因于最近完成的资本增值,所以在看到ROCE下降时要牢记这一点。牧原股份可能还没有从其最新募集的资金中获得全年收益,因此这些数据应该持保留态度。

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Muyuan Foods has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 48%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

另外需要了解的是,牧原股份目前的流动负债占总资产比率为48%,我们认为这相当高。这实际上意味着供应商(或短期债权人)正在为业务提供大部分资金,因此请注意这可能带来一些风险因素。理想情况下,我们希望看到这一比率降低,因为那将意味着减少了承担风险的义务。

In Conclusion...

最后,同等资本下回报率较低的趋势通常不是我们关注创业板股票的最佳信号。由于这些发展进行良好,因此投资者不太可能表现友好。自五年前以来,该股下跌了32%。除非这些指标朝着更积极的轨迹转变,否则我们将继续寻找其他股票。

We're a bit apprehensive about Muyuan Foods because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 20% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

我们对牧原股份有些担忧,因为尽管业务中投入了更多资本,但资本的回报率和销售额都有所下降。尽管存在令人担忧的潜在趋势,但股票在过去五年中实际上上涨了20%,因此投资者可能正期待这些趋势逆转。无论如何,我们并不是当前趋势的铁杆支持者,所以我们认为您可能会在其他地方找到更好的投资。

If you want to continue researching Muyuan Foods, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

如果您想要继续研究牧原股份,您可能会对我们分析发现的一个警示标志感兴趣。

While Muyuan Foods isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

虽然牧原股份的回报率不是最高的,但请查看此免费的公司列表,这些公司具有实力的资产负债表,可以获得高回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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