With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x Bright Dairy & Food Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600597) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 61x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Bright Dairy & FoodLtd has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Bright Dairy & FoodLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Growth For Bright Dairy & FoodLtd?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Bright Dairy & FoodLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 111% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 47% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 11% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 19% per year, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Bright Dairy & FoodLtd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Bottom Line On Bright Dairy & FoodLtd's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Bright Dairy & FoodLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bright Dairy & FoodLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
You might be able to find a better investment than Bright Dairy & FoodLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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