While Shareholders of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (HKG:1385) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate
While Shareholders of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (HKG:1385) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate
It's been a soft week for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited (HKG:1385) shares, which are down 17%. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 198% in that time. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
上海复旦微电子集团有限公司(HKG:1385)股份上周表现疲软,下跌了17%。但这并不改变股东在过去五年里获得了非常好的回报这一事实。事实上,股价在此期间上涨了惊人的198%。对于一些人来说,在如此快速上涨之后,最近的回调并不令人意外。只有时间才能告诉我们,当前股价是否仍然反映了过多的乐观情绪。
In light of the stock dropping 17% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鉴于股价在过去一周下跌了17%,我们希望调查更长期的情况,看看基本面是否推动了公司五年来的积极回报。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
During the last half decade, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. In fact, the Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group stock price is 18% lower in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 25% per year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -6% per year.
在过去的半个多世纪期间,上海复旦微电子集团实现了盈利。这种转变可能是一个能够证明强劲股价上涨的拐点,就像我们在这里看到的那样。考虑到公司三年前盈利,但五年前并未盈利,值得再看看过去三年的股价表现。事实上,上海复旦微电子集团股价在过去三年中下跌了18%。与此同时,每股收益年增长25%。因此,正面的每股收益增长与股价变化之间似乎存在不匹配,股价年下跌-6%。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。
Dive deeper into Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看上海复旦微电子集团的交互图表,深入了解上海复旦微电子集团的每股收益、营业收入和现金流量等关键指标。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group, it has a TSR of 204% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
当考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何拆分股或折扣资本募集的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红被再投资的假设。因此,对于支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就上海复旦微电子集团而言,过去5年其TSR为204%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红付款的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group provided a TSR of 22% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 25% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group a stock worth watching. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group .
上海复旦微电子集团在过去一年提供了22%的TSR(包括分红)。这与更广泛市场回报十分接近。必须指出,最近的回报低于股东每年获得的25%,跨过去半个世纪。最近,股价增长有所放缓。但必须说,总体情况表现良好,长期和短期绩效都不错。可以说,这使得上海复旦微电子集团成为一支值得关注的股票。我发现长期观察股价是业务绩效的代理很有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们在上海复旦微电子集团发现的3个预警信号。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。