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We Think Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd (SHSE:600839) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd (SHSE:600839) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为四川长虹电子股份有限公司(SHSE:600839)可以保持债务优势
Simply Wall St ·  10/13 21:35

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sichuan Changhong Electric Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600839) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的人)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性资本损失。” 因此,显而易见的是,当您考虑任何特定股票的风险时,您需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们注意到四川长虹电器股份有限公司(SHSE:600839)在其资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心它使用的债务?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助公司成长的一种工具,但如果公司无法偿还其借款人,则存在借款人的掌控中。资本主义的一部分和要件是“创造性毁灭”过程,其中银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是它必须低价筹集新的股权资本,这样会永久稀释股东的股份。当然,债务可以成为企业中的重要工具,特别是在资本密集型的企业中。考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是考虑其现金和债务的联合。

What Is Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's Debt?

四川长虹电器股份有限公司的负债是多少?

As you can see below, Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd had CN¥18.5b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥27.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥8.64b.

正如下面所示,2024年6月,四川长虹电器股份有限公司的债务达到185亿人民币,与前一年基本持平。您可以点击图表查看更详细信息。然而,公司拥有271亿人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净现金为86.4亿人民币。

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SHSE:600839 Debt to Equity History October 14th 2024
SHSE:600839 负债与股东权益历史记录 2024年10月14日

A Look At Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's Liabilities

四川长虹电器股份有限公司负债情况分析

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd had liabilities of CN¥66.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥4.59b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥27.1b in cash and CN¥19.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥24.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

聚焦最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到四川长虹电子有限公司有662亿人民币的负债要在12个月内偿还,还有459亿人民币的负债要在此之后偿还。与此相抵,它有271亿人民币的现金和194亿人民币的应收账款需要在12个月内偿还。因此,它的负债加起来比其现金和短期应收账款多出243亿人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥26.1b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

相对于其261亿人民币的市值,这个赤字相当可观,因此确实表明股东们应该密切关注四川长虹电子有限公司对债务的利用情况。如果其债权人要求其强化资产负债表,股东们可能会面临严重稀释。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但四川长虹电子有限公司拥有的现金比债务多,所以我们相当有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

But the bad news is that Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd has seen its EBIT plunge 18% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

但坏消息是,过去12个月里,四川长虹电子有限公司的EBIt下降了18%。如果收益下降的速度持续下去,公司可能会陷入困境。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的开始。但四川长虹电子有限公司的收益将影响资产负债表未来的支撑情况。因此,在考虑债务时,审视收益趋势绝对值得一提。点击这里查看互动快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用虚假利润来付债务;它需要现金。尽管四川长虹电子有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它构建(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。对任何股东来说,值得高兴的是,四川长虹电子有限公司过去三年实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIt多。在保持与债权人关系良好方面,没有比入账现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总之

Although Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.64b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.2b, being 201% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sichuan Changhong ElectricLtd you should know about.

虽然四川长虹电器股份有限公司的资产负债表并不特别强大,但由于总负债,由此看到其净现金为86.4亿人民币是显然积极的。并且自由现金流为12亿人民币,达到EBIt的201%,给我们留下了深刻印象。因此,我们对四川长虹电器股份有限公司的债务使用没有任何问题。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现四川长虹电器股份有限公司存在两个警示迹象,您应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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