Despite an already strong run, Kai Yuan Holdings Limited (HKG:1215) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.3% isn't as impressive.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kai Yuan Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Kai Yuan Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Kai Yuan Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kai Yuan Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kai Yuan Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kai Yuan Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kai Yuan Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Kai Yuan Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Kai Yuan Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We didn't quite envision Kai Yuan Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Kai Yuan Holdings that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kai Yuan Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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