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Is Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

Is Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

贵州茅台股份有限公司(SHSE:600519)的最近股票表现是否与其强劲基本面相关?
Simply Wall St ·  10/14 18:39

Kweichow Moutai (SHSE:600519) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last month. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Kweichow Moutai's ROE.

贵州茅台(SHSE:600519)在股市上表现出色,股价在过去一个月内大涨23%。考虑到市场长期奖励强劲的财务表现,我们想知道在这种情况下是否也是如此。在本文中,我们决定聚焦贵州茅台的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(净资产收益率)是股东需考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本被有效地再投资的效果如何。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kweichow Moutai is:

因此,根据上述公式,贵州茅台的ROE为:

37% = CN¥83b ÷ CN¥228b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

37% = 830亿人民币 ÷ 2280亿人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.37.

“回报率”是过去十二个月的利润。因此,这意味着每份股东投资的1人民币,公司可以获利0.37人民币。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经学到 ROE(净资产收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具体取决于公司再投资或“保留”多少这些利润,以及其有效程度,我们便能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他条件相同,ROE和利润保留率都较高的公司通常比不具备这些特征的公司增长率更高。

Kweichow Moutai's Earnings Growth And 37% ROE

贵州茅台的盈利增长和37%的roe

To begin with, Kweichow Moutai has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 17% which is quite remarkable. This probably laid the groundwork for Kweichow Moutai's moderate 15% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,贵州茅台的roe相当高,这很有趣。此外,公司的roe比行业平均水平高出17%,这相当引人注目。这可能为贵州茅台过去五年中适度的15%净利润增长奠定了基础。

As a next step, we compared Kweichow Moutai's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 15% in the same period.

作为下一步,我们将贵州茅台的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司与行业相比,净利润增长速度相当,同期行业平均增长率为15%。

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SHSE:600519 Past Earnings Growth October 14th 2024
SHSE:600519过去盈利增长2024年10月14日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 600519? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增长是股票估值中的一个重要因素。投资者应该努力确定预期盈利增长或下降是否已经反映在股价中。这样做将有助于他们判断股票的未来是看涨还是看跌。市场是否已经为贵州茅台的未来展望定价?您可以在我们的最新内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Kweichow Moutai Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

贵州茅台是否有效利用其利润?

Kweichow Moutai has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

此外,贵州茅台具有适中的三年中位数支付比率为49%(或保留比率为51%)和上述可观盈利增长的健康组合,这意味着公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Additionally, Kweichow Moutai has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 60% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,贵州茅台在至少十年的时间内支付了股息,这意味着公司非常重视与股东分享利润。在研究了最新的分析师一致预测数据后,我们发现公司未来的支付比率预计将在未来三年内上升到60%。无论如何,尽管预期的支付比率较高,ROE预计对该公司的变化不大。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we are pretty happy with Kweichow Moutai's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们对贵州茅台的表现相当满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司大量投资于业务,且回报率较高。毫不奇怪,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司的盈利增长预计将放缓。要了解更多关于该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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