China State Construction Development Holdings' (HKG:830) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 24% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
China State Construction Development Holdings' (HKG:830) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 24% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of China State Construction Development Holdings Limited (HKG:830) stock is up an impressive 151% over the last five years. In more good news, the share price has risen 13% in thirty days. But this could be related to good market conditions -- stocks in its market are up 19% in the last month.
在任何股票上,您的最大亏损(假设不使用杠杆)是您的全部资金的100%。但当您选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,您可以获得超过100%的回报。例如,中国建筑股份有限公司(HKG:830)股票的价格在过去五年中大幅上涨了151%。更令人振奋的是,股价在三十天内上涨了13%。但这可能与良好的市场状况有关--其市场股票在过去一个月内上涨了19%。
While the stock has fallen 9.3% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
尽管这支股票本周下跌了9.3%,但值得关注的是长期情况,并查看股票的历史回报是否由潜在基本因素推动。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over half a decade, China State Construction Development Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 22% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 20% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在半个世纪的时间里,中国建筑股份有限公司(China State Construction Development Holdings)成功以每年22%的速度增长每股收益。因此,每股收益的增长率与每年20%的股价涨幅非常接近。这表明投资者对该公司的情绪变化并不大。相反,股价大致跟踪着每股收益的增长。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that China State Construction Development Holdings has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
我们知道中国建设发展控股在过去三年里改善了底线,但未来会如何?看一下我们免费报告,了解其财务状况如何随时间变化可能会非常值得。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China State Construction Development Holdings, it has a TSR of 193% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要考虑任何股票的总股东回报,以及股价回报。股价回报仅反映了股价变动,TSR则包括了股息价值(假设已再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的好处。可以说,TSR提供了对股票产生的回报更全面的图片。就中国建设发展控股而言,过去5年的TSR为193%。超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
China State Construction Development Holdings shareholders are down 10% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 24% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that China State Construction Development Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
中国建设发展控股的股东今年亏损了10%(包括股息),但市场本身上涨了23%。即使优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对一家企业的基本指标看到改善之前,不要过于感兴趣。好在,长期股东已经赚到了钱,每年增长24%达半个世纪。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据,以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现长期来看股价作为业务绩效的代理很有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。尽管如此,请注意,中国建设发展控股在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警示标志,您应该了解...
But note: China State Construction Development Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但要注意:中国建设发展控股可能不是最佳买入股票。因此,请查看这份免费的有趣公司名单,其中包括过去收益增长(以及未来增长预测)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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