Does Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical (SHSE:605077) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical (SHSE:605077) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605077) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性资本损失。”因此,看起来聪明的资金知道,债务——通常涉及破产——是评估公司风险性时非常重要的因素。我们注意到浙江华康药业股份有限公司(SHSE:605077)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务是否会让股东担忧呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业不能偿还债务,则存在于债权人的掌控下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,一个更为常见且仍然痛苦的情况是,企业需要以低价筹集新的股权资本,这样就会永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务在企业中可以是一种重要的工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看看它的现金和债务结合在一起。
How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical Carry?
浙江华康药业承担了多少债务?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical had CN¥2.08b of debt, up from CN¥1.24b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥917.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.17b.
正如您下面所看到的,在2024年6月底,浙江华康药业的债务为20.8亿人民币,比一年前的12.4亿人民币有所增加。点击图片查看更多详细信息。然而,它也有91730万人民币现金,因此其净债务为11.7亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?
浙江华康药业的资产负债表究竟有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥1.08b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.80b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥917.3m in cash and CN¥640.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.32b.
深入查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到浙江华康药业的短期负债为10.8亿人民币,超过12个月到期的长期负债为18亿人民币。抵消这一点的是,其现金为91730万人民币,应收账款为64030万人民币,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和13.2亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical is worth CN¥4.17b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为浙江华康药业价值41.7亿人民币,因此可能可以筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表,如果有需要的话。但我们绝对要保持警惕,看到其债务带来过多风险的迹象。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。
We'd say that Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.2), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. The bad news is that Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical saw its EBIT decline by 13% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我们认为浙江华康药业适度的净债务与EBITDA比率(为2.2)表明在涉及债务时很谨慎。其0.1万倍的强劲利息覆盖倍数,使我们感到更加放心。不好的消息是,浙江华康药业在过去一年中看到其EBIt下降了13%。如果收益继续以这个速度下降,那么处理债务将会比带着三个5亿以下儿童前往一家高级餐厅困难得多。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终决定浙江华康药业未来能否保持健康资产负债表的,将更多地取决于未来收益。因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用真金白银而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是看看EBIt中实际自由现金流所占的比例。在过去三年中,浙江华康药业的自由现金流出现了实质性的负增长。尽管这可能是为了增长而支出导致的,但这确实使债务变得更加风险。
Our View
我们的观点
Mulling over Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Huakang Pharmaceutical (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
考虑浙江华康医药试图将EBIT转化为自由现金流,我们并不是特别热情。但至少用EBIT覆盖利息开支相当不错,这是令人鼓舞的。综合考虑上述所有因素,我们认为浙江华康医药的债务使其有点冒险。这不一定是件坏事,但我们通常会更喜欢更少的杠杆。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务情况最多。然而,并非所有的投资风险都来自资产负债表——远非如此。例如,我们发现了浙江华康医药的两个警示信号(其中一个有点令人不快!),在投资此处之前您应该注意这些。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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