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Is FIH Mobile (HKG:2038) Using Too Much Debt?

Is FIH Mobile (HKG:2038) Using Too Much Debt?

FIH Mobile(HKG:2038)是否使用过多债务?
Simply Wall St ·  10/14 22:16

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that FIH Mobile Limited (HKG:2038) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李录(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于是否会遭受持续的资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它使用债务的情况,因为债务超载可能导致崩溃。我们可以看到富智康集团(HKG:2038)确实在业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本时,债务和其他负债对企业变得风险。资本主义的一个重要特征是“创造性破坏”过程,在这个过程中,失败的企业会被它们的银行家无情地清算。尽管这并不常见,我们经常看到负债的公司因为放贷人迫使它们以低价筹集资本而导致股东永久性稀释。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价资本,特别是当它取代公司能够以高投资回报率再投资时的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务的组合。

How Much Debt Does FIH Mobile Carry?

富智康集团承担了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 FIH Mobile had debt of US$865.8m, up from US$710.9m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.76b in cash, so it actually has US$898.8m net cash.

下面的图片(点击可查看更详细信息)显示,2024年6月,富智康集团的债务为86580万美元,比一年前的71090万美元增加了。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有17.6亿美元现金,因此实际上净现金为89880万美元。

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SEHK:2038 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024
SEHK:2038债务资本比历史数据2024年10月15日

A Look At FIH Mobile's Liabilities

富智康集团负债情况一览

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that FIH Mobile had liabilities of US$3.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$19.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.76b as well as receivables valued at US$849.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$555.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,富智康集团有的短期到期负债为31.5亿美元,长期到期负债为1.99亿美元。抵消这些义务的是,它有17.6亿美元的现金以及价值8491万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款合计高出5559万美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$893.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on FIH Mobile's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, FIH Mobile also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if FIH Mobile can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

相对于其市值89.34亿美元,这个赤字相当可观,因此确实表明股东应该关注富智康集团的债务使用。如果其贷款人要求其加固资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重稀释。虽然它确实有值得注意的债务,但富智康集团也比债务多现金,所以我们相当有信心地认为它可以安全地管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务的大部分信息。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定富智康集团是否能随着时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,您可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Over 12 months, FIH Mobile made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$5.7b, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在过去12个月,富智康集团在EBIT水平上出现亏损,并且其营业收入下降至570亿美元,同比下降了29%。这让我们感到十分担忧。

So How Risky Is FIH Mobile?

那么富智康集团有多大风险?

Although FIH Mobile had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of US$419m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting FIH Mobile insider transactions.

尽管富智康集团在过去12个月EBIT方面亏损,但它产生了4190万美元的正自由现金流。因此,尽管亏损,考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太多短期资产负债表风险。随着收入增长乏力,我们确实需要看到一些正面EBIT才能为这家企业感到热情。当我认为一家公司有点风险时,我认为检查内部人员是否报告任何股票销售是负责任的。幸运的是,您可以点击这里查看我们的图表,展示富智康集团内部交易。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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