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Has Chemed Corporation (NYSE:CHE) Stock's Recent Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Financial Health?

Has Chemed Corporation (NYSE:CHE) Stock's Recent Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Financial Health?

Chemed公司(纽交所: CHE)股票最近的表现是否与其财务状况有关?
Simply Wall St ·  10/15 08:23

Chemed's (NYSE:CHE) stock up by 9.9% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Chemed's ROE in this article.

在过去三个月中,Chemed(纽交所:CHE)的股票上涨了9.9%。鉴于股价通常与公司的长期财务表现保持一致,我们决定调查公司良好的财务状况是否在最近的股价波动中起了作用。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究Chemed的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

roe或权益回报率是评估公司有效利用股东投资产生回报效率的有用工具。简而言之,roe显示每个股东投资所产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chemed is:

根据上述公式,Chemed的ROE为:

25% = US$301m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

25% = 3.01亿美元 ÷ 120亿美元(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.25 in profit.

'回报'指的是公司过去一年的收入。另一种思考方式是,对于每1美元的股东权益,公司能够赚取0.25美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Chemed's Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

Chemed的收益增长和25%的roe的并排比较

To begin with, Chemed has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 13% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Yet, Chemed has posted measly growth of 2.4% over the past five years. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or or poor allocation of capital.

首先,Chemed的roe相当高,这很有趣。其次,与行业报告的平均roe 13%进行比较,我们也不会忽视。然而,Chemed在过去五年中的增长率仅为2.4%。从一个拥有如此高回报率的公司而言,这有点出乎意料。我们认为,在回报率相当高的情况下,低增长可能是低盈利留存率或资本配置不佳等特定情况所致。

As a next step, we compared Chemed's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 6.2% in the same period.

作为下一步,我们将Chemed的净利润增长与该行业进行了比较,看到该公司的增长低于同期行业平均增长率6.2%,我们感到失望。

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NYSE:CHE Past Earnings Growth October 15th 2024
纽交所:chemed过去的盈利增长2024年10月15日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Chemed's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

给公司贴上价值的基础在很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者需要下一个要判断的是,预期的盈利增长是否已经融入股价,或者没有融入其中。这样做将有助于他们判断股票的未来是充满希望还是充满风险。如果你对Chemed的估值感到好奇,请查看其市盈率的表现,与其行业相比。

Is Chemed Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Chemed是否有效利用其利润?

A low three-year median payout ratio of 8.4% (implying that the company retains the remaining 92% of its income) suggests that Chemed is retaining most of its profits. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

低达3年中位数为8.4%的股利支付比(意味着公司保留其收入的剩余92%)表明Chemed大多数利润都保留下来。这应该体现在其盈利增长数字中,但实际情况并非如此。因此,可能存在其他原因来解释这方面的缺失。例如,该业务可能正处于下滑状态。

In addition, Chemed has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,Chemed在过去至少十年内一直在支付股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,维持股息支付也比管理层更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Chemed certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为 chemed 确实有一些需要考虑的积极因素。然而,低收益增长有些令人担忧,尤其是考虑到公司拥有高回报率并将大部分利润再投资。从目前情况来看,可能有一些其他因素,不一定在业务的控制范围内,导致了增长的阻碍。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,公司的盈利预计将加速增长。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的整体预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里,前往我们的分析师预测页面了解更多。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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