Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Holds Lead In 2024 Election Poll, But Former President Is Closing The Gap
Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Holds Lead In 2024 Election Poll, But Former President Is Closing The Gap
The new poll shows the following results from voters, with results from the Oct. 8 poll in parentheses:A week after having a record lead over Donald Trump in a weekly head-to-head poll of likely voters, Vice President Kamala Harris sees her lead shrink with less than one month until the 2024 presidential election.
在一周后民意调查中领先特朗普概念的记录后，副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯看到她的领先优势在距2024年总统选举不到一个月的时间内缩小。
What Happened: Harris has had the lead over Trump in many election polls and until recent weeks saw her election betting odds and prediction market odds top the former president.
哈里斯在许多选举民调中一直领先于特朗普，在最近几周内，她的选举投注赔率和预测市场赔率超过了前总统。
A new Morning Consult poll of likely voters shows Harris' lead dropping from a record high six points last week. Harris maintains a lead, something she has been able to accomplish most weeks since President Joe Biden dropped out of the election race.
一项新的Morning Consult民意调查显示，哈里斯的领先优势从上周创下的创纪录的六个百分点下降。哈里斯保持领先地位，这是自总统乔·拜登退出选举竞选以来大多数周都能够实现的事情。
The new poll shows the following results from voters, with results from the Oct. 8 poll in parentheses:
从选民中，新的民调显示了以下结果，括号中是10月8日的民意调查结果：
Kamala Harris: 50% (51%)
Donald Trump: 46% (45%)
Someone Else: 2% (2%)
Don't Know: 2% (2%)
卡玛拉•哈里斯：50%（51%）
特朗普：46%（45%）
其他人：2％（2％）
不确定：2%（2%）
The poll also found that 94% of Democrats backed Harris as their top pick, in line with last week's poll. The poll also found 92% of Republicans backed Trump as their top pick, in line with last week's poll.
这项民意调查还发现，94%的民主党人支持哈里斯作为他们的首选，与上周的调查结果一致。 民意调查还发现，92%的共和党人支持特朗普作为他们的首选，与上周的调查结果一致。
Independent voters selected the following as their head-to-head preference, with the results from the Oct. 8 poll in parentheses:
独立选民选择了以下两两对决的偏好，其中包括10月8日民意调查结果：
Kamala Harris: 46% (45%)
Donald Trump: 42% (44%)
Someone Else: 6% (5%)
Don't Know: 6% (5%)
卡马拉·哈里斯：46%（45%）
特朗普概念：42%（44%）
其他人：6%（5%）
不知道：6%（5%）
The vice president also has the edge in the 18-34 age voters demographic, leading 55% to 43%. The 12-point lead is higher than last week's 10-point advantage, but down from a lead of 15 points three weeks ago.
副总统在18-34岁选民年龄段也处于领先地位，领先55%至43%。这12点的优势高于上周的10点优势，但低于三周前的15点优势。
Did You Know?
你知道吗？
Congress Is Making Huge Investments. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool
国会正在大量投资。借助我们易于使用的工具，了解他们在2024年选举之前买入和卖出的股票。
Why It's Important: While Harris sees her lead drop from six points to four points, she still maintains an edge over the former president in the national poll of likely voters.
为什么这很重要：尽管哈里斯的领先优势从六点下降到四点，但她仍然在全国可能投票者的民意调查中保持领先地位。
The vice president also saw her lead in the key Independent voters and young voters demographics grow from the prior poll. Independent voters remain a key demographic for the 2024 election and Harris has a four-point advantage after last week saw the vice president have a narrow one-point advantage.
副总统还看到她在关键的独立选民和年轻选民群体中的领先优势在上一次调查中增长。独立选民对2024年选举仍然是一个关键群体，哈里斯在上周看到副总统仅有微弱的一点优势之后，获得了四分的优势。
The newest poll could show that Harris' media blitz that included appearances on the Call Her Daddy podcast, "60 Minutes," "The Howard Stern Show," "The View" and taking part in a Town Hall may not have paid off in gaining support from voters.
最新的民意调查可能显示，哈里斯在包括出席《Call Her Daddy》播客、《60分钟》、《霍华德·斯特恩秀》、《The View》以及参加一个市政厅会议在内的媒体大量宣传中，并未成功赢得选民的支持。
With a gain in Independent and young voters, the media blitz may be working in gaining support from key demographics according the results though.
随着独立选民和年轻选民的增加，媒体的大量宣传可能正在拉拢关键选民的支持，尽管结果显示这点。
