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Will New Projects Rescue Private Residential Market From Sliding to Historic Lows?

Will New Projects Rescue Private Residential Market From Sliding to Historic Lows?

新项目能否拯救私人住宅市场免于滑向历史低点?
Singapore Business Review ·  10/16 22:05

In September, sales soared by 90% QoQ with one sales launch.

九月份,随着一个销售推出,销售额环比增长了90%。

After months of sluggish performance, real estate experts predict the private residential market could rebound just before the year ends.

经过几个月的低迷表现,房地产业专家预测,在年底前,私人住宅市场可能会出现反弹。

"Transaction momentum of new sales could pick up before the holiday season at the end of the year," Knight Frank said.

“在年底节日期间,新销售的交易势头可能会增加,” Knight Frank表示。

JLL, for its part, said it is cautiously optimistic for the remainder of the year.

至于JLL,表示对今年余下时间持谨慎乐观态度。

"Despite an overhang of cooling measures and buyer hesitancy, we anticipate an improvement in sentiment and sales volume," JLL said.

“尽管存在降温措施和购房者犹豫不决的障碍,我们预计情绪和销售量会有所改善,” JLL表示。

Meanwhile, CBRE expects sales to rebound in Q4, stating that "there are indications of a recovery in sentiment following September's rate cut."

与此同时,CBRE预计销售额将在第四季度反弹,称“有迹象显示随着九月份的利率下调,情绪正在恢复。”

September's rate cut, alongside better economic news, helped boost buyer's confidence and new home sales in September, said Huttons.

Huttons表示,九月份的利率下调,加之更好的经济新闻,有助于提振购房者信心和九月份的新房销售。

"The announcement of a 50-basis point interest rate cut in September 2024 by the US central bank could prove to be the shot-in-the-arm needed to move the private residential market," Knight Frank said,

“2024年美国央行在九月份宣布50个基点的利率削减可能会成为推动私人住宅市场发展所需的刺激措施,” Knight Frank表示。

"The larger-than-expected interest rate cut on 18 September may have also lifted buyer sentiment, drawing in previously hesitant buyers now emboldened by potentially more favourable financing conditions," JLL added.

9月18日意外降息可能会提振购房者情绪,吸引了之前犹豫不决的买家,他们现在得到更有利的融资条件,JLL补充道。

In September, new home sales, excluding executive condominiums (ECs), soared 90% QoQ MoM to 401 units, despite only having one mid-sized project launch during the month,

9月份,除了执行共管公寓(ECs)外,新房销售量环比激增90%,达到401套,尽管当月仅有一个中型项目推出。

"Home buyers seem more optimistic after last month's interest rate cuts. There was a notable resurgence of buyers in the market, especially after the conclusion of the lunar ghost month," OrangeTee said.

根据OrangeTee的说法,上个月的降息后,购房者似乎更加乐观。市场上购房者明显回升,尤其是在农历鬼月结束后。

According to OrangeTee, there was a widespread uptick in sales volume last month across various previously launched projects.

OrangeTee表示,上个月各个之前推出的项目销量普遍上升。

With buyers returning to pick up units at previously launched projects and a varied pipeline of new launches to come, PropNex is "optimistic that developers' sales could finish the year on a brighter note compared with the sluggish performance we observed earlier in 2024."

随着购房者重返之前推出的项目并且多样化的新项目即将推出,PropNex“乐观地认为开发商的销售有望在年底结束时有所改善,相比我们前几年观察到的低迷表现。”

OrangeTee echoed this saying the increase in new home supply in the final quarter of this year will bolster housing demand.

OrangeTee也表示,今年最后一个季度新房供应的增加将支撑住房需求。

Projects to be launched in the last quarter of the year include Norwood Grand, The Chuan Park, Arina East Residences, Nava Grove, Emerald of Katong, and Union Square Residences.

计划在今年最后一个季度推出的项目包括Norwood Grand、The Chuan Park、Arina East Residences、Nava Grove、翡翠阁、Union Square Residences。

|Many of these projects are situated in the suburbs, providing more affordable housing options for home buyers. These developments are expected to be especially attractive to HDB upgraders, particularly those who have recently sold their flats at high prices," OrangeTee.

这些项目中很多位于郊区,为购房者提供了更多负担得起的住房选择。这些发展项目预计将特别吸引HDB升级换房者,尤其是那些最近以高价出售了他们的组屋的人们,"OrangeTee表示。

While experts are optimistic about the market's performance for the remainder of the year, CBRE and Knight said 2024 could see the lowest annual new sales since 2008 when 4,264 new homes exchanged hands.

尽管专家对今年余下部分的市场表现持乐观态度,CBRE和Knight表示,2024年可能会见到自2008年以来最低的年度新房销售成交量,当时有4,264套新房换手。

JLL said September year-to-date, new home sales reached 3,077, a 42.3% YoY drop, falling 20.0% below the previous historical low of 3,845 units recorded in the same period of 2008 during the global financial crisis (GFC).

JLL表示,截至9月底的全年,新房销售量已达到3,077套,同比下降42.3%,低于2008年同期全球金融危机(GFC)期间记录的3,845套的历史最低水平下降20.0%。

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