The China First Heavy Industries (SHSE:601106) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.0% isn't as impressive.
Even after such a large jump in price, China First Heavy Industries may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How China First Heavy Industries Has Been Performing
China First Heavy Industries hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China First Heavy Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For China First Heavy Industries?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as China First Heavy Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 25% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 61% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that China First Heavy Industries' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From China First Heavy Industries' P/S?
Despite China First Heavy Industries' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To us, it seems China First Heavy Industries currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for China First Heavy Industries with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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