Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2145) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2145) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic (HKG:2145) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 33% over the last month. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's ROE.
上海上美股份化妆品(HKG:2145) 在股票市场上取得了巨大成功,股价在上个月大幅上涨了33%。由于市场通常会为公司的长期基本面付费,我们决定研究该公司的关键绩效指标,看看它们是否可能影响市场。在本文中,我们决定聚焦于上海上美股份化妆品的roe。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
怎样计算ROE?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic is:
因此,根据上述公式,上海上美股份化妆品的roe是:
36% = CN¥773m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
36% = CN¥77300万 ÷ CN¥21亿 (基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.36 in profit.
'回报'是过去十二个月的利润。另一种想法是,对于每港元的净值,公司能够赚取0.36港元的利润。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
roe与盈利增长有何关系?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
我们已经确定,roe可以作为一种有效的衡量公司未来盈利能力的指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或“保留”的利润有多少,这就给我们提供了有关公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。
A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's Earnings Growth And 36% ROE
上美股份的收益增长和36%的roe的并排对比
Firstly, we acknowledge that Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 9.5% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 35% net income growth seen by Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic over the past five years isn't overly surprising.
首先,我们承认上美化妆品的roe非常高。其次,即使与行业平均水平的9.5%相比,公司的roe也相当令人印象深刻。因此,在过去五年中,上美化妆品实现的35%的净利润增长并不令人过于惊讶。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 10% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下来,通过与行业净利润增长进行比较,我们发现与同期行业平均增长率10%相比,上美化妆品的增长相当高,这是非常好的。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
盈利增长是评估股票价值时需要考虑的一个重要因子。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期盈利增长,或者其缺乏,是否已经反映在股价中。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是前往清澈蓝水还是等待泥泞水域。如果你想了解上海上美股份化妆品的估值,请查看其市盈率,与其所在行业板块相比。
Is Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
上海上美股份化妆品是否有效利用其利润?
Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 80%, meaning the company only retains 20% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.
上海上美股份化妆品的三年中位分红比率达到80%,意味着公司仅保留其收入的20%。这意味着尽管将大部分利润返还给股东,但公司仍能实现高额盈利增长。
While Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 66%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 42%.
尽管上海上美股份化妆品其盈利增长,但其最近才开始支付股息,这很可能意味着公司决定用股息来打动新老股东。我们最新的分析师数据显示,公司未来三年的分红比率预计约为66%。因此,分析师预测公司未来的roe也不会有太大变化,预计roe为42%。
Conclusion
结论
Overall, we are quite pleased with Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
总的来说,我们对上海上美股份化妆品的表现感到相当满意。 我们特别印象深刻的是公司取得的可观收入增长,这可能得益于其高roe。虽然公司将大部分收入作为股息支付,但它仍然能够实现收入增长,这可能是一个好迹象。 话虽如此,预计公司的收入增长将放缓,如当前分析师的预测所示。 这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师对公司的预测页面。
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