Ronglian Group Ltd. (SZSE:002642) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 18% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ronglian Group may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.2x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Ronglian Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Ronglian Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ronglian Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ronglian Group?
Ronglian Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 37%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 32% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Ronglian Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ronglian Group's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Ronglian Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Ronglian Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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