The HiVi Acoustics Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002888) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 40%. Looking further back, the 25% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking HiVi Acoustics Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have P/S ratios below 1.9x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that HiVi Acoustics Technology's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for HiVi Acoustics Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For HiVi Acoustics Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as HiVi Acoustics Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 27% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 9.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S
HiVi Acoustics Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of HiVi Acoustics Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HiVi Acoustics Technology (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on HiVi Acoustics Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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