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There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Returns On Capital

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Returns On Capital

有理由对酒鬼酒(SZSE:000799)的资本回报感到不安
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/20 18:04

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Jiugui Liquor (SZSE:000799) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

您知道有些财务指标可以提供潜在多倍收益的线索吗?除其他以外,我们会想看到两件事情;首先,资本雇用回报率(ROCE)增长,其次,公司资本雇用规模扩大。最终,这表明这是一家以增加回报率再投资利润的企业。话虽如此,初步看到酒鬼酒(SZSE:000799)的回报趋势并没有让我们兴奋,但让我们更深入地看一下。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

我们对 Enphase Energy 的资本雇用回报率的看法:正如我们上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的资本回报率没有提高,但它正在重新投资于业务。投资者必须认为未来会有更好的前景,因为股票表现良好,使持股五年以上的股东获得了 690% 的收益。最终,如果基本趋势持续存在,我们不会对它成为一只多头股持有期很久很有信心。

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Jiugui Liquor, this is the formula:

对于那些不了解的人,ROCE是公司年度税前利润(其回报)相对于企业资本雇用的一种衡量。要为酒鬼酒计算这个指标,这是公式:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.056 = CN¥230m ÷ (CN¥5.6b - CN¥1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.056 = 人民币23000万 ÷ (人民币56亿 - 人民币15亿)(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

Thus, Jiugui Liquor has an ROCE of 5.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Beverage industry average of 17%.

因此,酒鬼酒的ROCE为5.6%。最终,这是一个较低的回报率,表现低于饮料行业的平均17%。

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SZSE:000799 Return on Capital Employed October 21st 2024
SZSE:000799 2024年10月21日的资本雇用回报率

In the above chart we have measured Jiugui Liquor's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Jiugui Liquor .

在上面的图表中,我们已经测量了酒鬼酒之前的ROCE与其之前的表现,但未来可能更重要。如果您感兴趣,您可以查看我们免费的酒鬼酒分析师报告中分析师的预测。

The Trend Of ROCE

当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。

In terms of Jiugui Liquor's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 13%, but since then they've fallen to 5.6%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

就酒鬼酒历史ROCE的变动来看,趋势并不理想。大约五年前,资本回报率为13%,但自那时起已下降至5.6%。考虑到企业在资本增加的同时营业收入下滑,这有点令人担忧。如果这种情况继续下去,您可能会看到一家企图通过再投资来实现增长但实际上正在失去市场份额的公司,因为销售额未增加。

The Key Takeaway

重要提示

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Jiugui Liquor's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 64% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

总的来说,我们对酒鬼酒对增加资本的回报逐渐减少感到有些担忧。但投资者必须期待某种改善,因为过去五年里,股票交付了可观的64%回报。尽管如此,我们对基本面并不感到太舒服,所以我们暂时避开这只股票。

On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Jiugui Liquor (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

最后需要注意的是,我们发现了3个酒鬼酒的警示信号(其中2个有点不太愉快),您应该注意。

While Jiugui Liquor isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

尽管酒鬼酒的回报率并不是最高的,但请查看这份免费的公司名单,这些公司在权益回报率上取得高回报并拥有稳固的资产负债表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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