Apex Ace Holding Limited (HKG:6036) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 80% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Apex Ace Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Apex Ace Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Apex Ace Holding has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Apex Ace Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Apex Ace Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Apex Ace Holding's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 61%. Revenue has also lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Apex Ace Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Apex Ace Holding appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Apex Ace Holding revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Apex Ace Holding (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Apex Ace Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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