SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000958) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 46% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 38% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 12% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.3% each year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 18% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' P/E?
Despite SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of SPIC Industry-Finance Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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