Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Guoco Group (HKG:53)
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Guoco Group (HKG:53)
The recent earnings posted by Guoco Group Limited (HKG:53) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
国浩集团有限公司(HKG:53)最近公布的收益表现稳健,但股票的走势并不如我们预期的那样。然而,法定利润数字并不能完全反映实际情况,我们发现了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。
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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
To properly understand Guoco Group's profit results, we need to consider the US$134m gain attributed to unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
为了正确理解国浩集团的利润结果,我们需要考虑到归属于飞凡项目的13400万美元收益。尽管我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目对利润贡献较大时,我们往往会更加谨慎。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这并不奇怪,考虑到其名称。假设这些飞凡项目在当前年度不再出现,我们因此预计利润明年会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guoco Group.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的健康状况。请点击这里查看我们对国浩集团资产负债表的分析。
Our Take On Guoco Group's Profit Performance
我们对国浩集团的利润表现看法
We'd posit that Guoco Group's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Guoco Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 42% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Guoco Group at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Guoco Group.
我们认为国浩集团的法定收益并不是对持续生产力的清晰评估,因为存在一项巨大的飞凡项目。因此,我们认为国浩集团的真正基础收益能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。但至少持有人可以从过去三年每股收益增长42%中获得一些安慰。最重要的是,在了解公司情况时不仅仅考虑以上因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但在当前时点考虑国浩集团面临的风险同样重要。例如,我们发现了2个警告信号,你应该仔细观察,以更好地了解国浩集团。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Guoco Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我们聚焦一个单一数据点,以更好地了解国浩集团利润的本质。但如果你能集中注意力在细节上,总有更多可以发现的。例如,许多人认为股权回报率高是有利的经济业务指标,而其他人则喜欢“追随资金”并寻找内部人士在买进的股票。尽管这可能需要你做一些研究,但你可能会发现这个免费的拥有高财务杠杆的公司集合,或者这个股票中拥有内部重要持股的公司名单很有用。
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