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Here's Why We Think Jiangxi Copper (HKG:358) Is Well Worth Watching

Here's Why We Think Jiangxi Copper (HKG:358) Is Well Worth Watching

以下是我们认为江西铜业 (HKG:358) 值得关注的原因
Simply Wall St ·  10/23 18:50

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

即使这意味着购买无任何收入,更不用说利润的“故事股”,投资者常常被寻找“下一个大事件”的想法引导。不幸的是,这些高风险投资往往几乎没有可能获得回报,许多投资者付出代价才能吸取教训。亏损的公司会像资本的海绵一样 - 因此投资者应该谨慎,不要在徒劳无功的投资后投入好钱去赚坏钱。

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Jiangxi Copper (HKG:358). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

如果这种高风险高回报的想法不适合您,您可能会对像江西铜业(HKG:358)这样盈利增长的公司更感兴趣。现在这并不是说该公司提供了最佳的投资机会,但盈利能力是业务成功的关键因素之一。

How Fast Is Jiangxi Copper Growing?

江西铜业增长速度有多快?

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. Over the last three years, Jiangxi Copper has grown EPS by 14% per year. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

市场在短期内是一个投票机器,但在长期内是一个称重机器,所以您可以预期股价最终会跟随每股收益(EPS)的结果。因此,有经验的投资者在进行投资研究时会密切关注公司的EPS。在过去三年里,江西铜业每年的EPS增长率为14%。如果公司能够持续这种增长速度,那是相当不错的。

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. EBIT margins for Jiangxi Copper remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 7.2% to CN¥527b. That's encouraging news for the company!

检查公司增长的一种方法是查看其营业收入和利息、税前利润(EBIT)的利润率是如何变化的。江西铜业的EBIT利润率在过去一年基本保持不变,然而公司应该高兴地报告其营业收入增长了7.2%,达到了5270亿人民币。这对公司来说是令人鼓舞的消息!

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

在下面的图表中,您可以看到公司的盈利和营业收入随时间的增长情况。要查看实际数字,请单击图表。

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SEHK:358 Earnings and Revenue History October 23rd 2024
SEHK:358 2024年10月23日的收益和营业收入历史

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Jiangxi Copper's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

幸运的是,我们可以访问对江西铜业未来利润的分析师预测。您可以自行进行预测,也可以查看专业人士的预测。

Are Jiangxi Copper Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

江西铜业内部人是否与所有股东保持一致?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a HK$72b company like Jiangxi Copper. But thanks to their investment in the company, it's pleasing to see that there are still incentives to align their actions with the shareholders. Holding CN¥536m worth of stock in the company is no laughing matter and insiders will be committed in delivering the best outcomes for shareholders. This would indicate that the goals of shareholders and management are one and the same.

我们不希望看到内部人员拥有类似江西铜业这样价值720亿港元的公司中的大比例股份。但由于他们对公司的投资,令人高兴的是仍然有动机使他们的行动与股东保持一致。持有公司价值53600万人民币的股票绝非闹着玩,内部人士将致力于为股东带来最佳结果。这表明股东和管理层的目标是一致的。

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Jiangxi Copper, with market caps between CN¥29b and CN¥86b, is around CN¥4.6m.

看到内部人员投资于公司是件好事,但薪酬水平是否合理?我们快速分析CEO的薪酬似乎表明是合理的。与江西铜业等规模相似,市值在290亿人民币和860亿人民币之间的公司的CEO的中位数总补偿约为460万人民币。

The Jiangxi Copper CEO received total compensation of just CN¥1.4m in the year to December 2023. That's clearly well below average, so at a glance that arrangement seems generous to shareholders and points to a modest remuneration culture. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

江西铜业CEO在2023年12月收到的总补偿仅为140万人民币。显然低于平均水平,因此这一安排对股东慷慨,并且指向谦逊的薪酬文化。虽然CEO的薪酬水平不应是公司被看待的最重要因素,谦逊的薪酬是一个积极因素,因为这表明董事会考虑股东的利益。这也可能是良好治理的迹象。

Does Jiangxi Copper Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

江西铜业值得加入您的自选吗?

As previously touched on, Jiangxi Copper is a growing business, which is encouraging. The fact that EPS is growing is a genuine positive for Jiangxi Copper, but the pleasant picture gets better than that. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. It is worth noting though that we have found 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Copper (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

正如之前提到的那样,江西铜业是一个增长中的业务,这是令人鼓舞的。每股收益增长是江西铜业的真正积极因素,但好消息不止于此。凭借可观的内部持股比例和合理的CEO薪酬,一个理性的人可能会得出结论,这是一支值得关注的股票。尽管值得注意的是,我们发现了2个江西铜业的警示信号(其中1个不容忽视!)您需要考虑。

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of Hong Kong companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings.

购买那些没有增长利润并且没有内部人士购买股票的股票可能会表现得不错。但是对于那些认为这些是重要指标的人,我们建议您查看具备这些功能的公司。您可以查看一个经过定制的香港公司列表,这些公司拥有显着的内部股权。

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

请注意,本文讨论的内部交易是指在相关司法管辖区中报告的交易。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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