Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300481) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 67x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 42%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 9.2% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 18% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Puyang Huicheng Electronic Material. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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