We Think Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性与风险远非同义词。”因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务通常涉及破产,是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,施贵宝公司(纽交所:BMY)的业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让公司变得更加危险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债对企业变得风险重重。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是企业必须以较低的股票价格稀释股东权益,以简单地控制债务。当然,债务的好处是它经常代表廉价资本,特别是当它取代重新投资于高回报率企业的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看其现金和债务合计。
What Is Bristol-Myers Squibb's Net Debt?
什么是施贵宝的净债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Bristol-Myers Squibb had US$52.4b of debt, an increase on US$37.7b, over one year. However, it does have US$6.65b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$45.7b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,截至2024年6月,施贵宝的债务金额达到524亿美元,比一年前的377亿美元有所增加。然而,它拥有66.5亿美元的现金来抵消这笔债务,净债务约为457亿美元。
How Healthy Is Bristol-Myers Squibb's Balance Sheet?
施贵宝的资产负债表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bristol-Myers Squibb had liabilities of US$23.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$54.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.65b and US$15.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$55.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,施贵宝有233亿美元的短期到期负债,以及543亿美元的长期到期负债。另一方面,它有66.5亿美元的现金和151亿美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额是558亿美元,超过了其现金和短期应收账款的总和。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Bristol-Myers Squibb has a huge market capitalization of US$107.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
虽然这可能看起来很多,但由于施贵宝的市值达1070亿美元,所以如果有需要,它可能通过增加资本来加强资产负债表。但我们绝对希望保持警惕,以防债务带来过多风险。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, Bristol-Myers Squibb uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Bristol-Myers Squibb grow its EBIT by 3.8% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bristol-Myers Squibb's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
以2.4的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率来看,施贵宝巧妙而负责任地使用债务。而诱人的利息偿付倍数(EBIT相对于利息支出8.8倍)无疑证实了这一印象。我们看到施贵宝在过去十二个月中将EBIT增长了3.8%。虽然这并没有令人惊叹,但在债务方面是积极的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务最多。但未来收入,最主要的是,将决定施贵宝未来能否保持健康的资产负债表。如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Bristol-Myers Squibb actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。因此,我们始终查看EBIT中有多少被转化为自由现金流。过去三年,施贵宝实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIT更多。这种强劲的现金转化让我们像在Daft Punk音乐会上舞池狂热的人们一样兴奋。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Bristol-Myers Squibb's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Bristol-Myers Squibb can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bristol-Myers Squibb .
施贵宝令人印象深刻的EBIt转化为自由现金流,表明其在债务方面占据上风。但是,更令人担忧的是其总负债水平。综合考虑所有前述因素,我们认为施贵宝可以相对舒适地处理其债务。当然,虽然这种杠杆可以增强股本回报,但也带来更多风险,因此值得密切关注。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多关于债务的信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。为此,您应该意识到我们在施贵宝看到的 2个警示信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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