Shanghai AiyingshiLtd (SHSE:603214) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Soars 22% This Past Week
Shanghai AiyingshiLtd (SHSE:603214) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Soars 22% This Past Week
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Shanghai Aiyingshi Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603214) share price has gained some 55% in the last three months. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 51% in that half decade.
毫无疑问,近三个月来上海爱婴室股份有限公司(SHSE:603214)的股价已经上涨了约55%。但如果您看过去五年的表现,收益并不理想。您会发现购买指数基金会更明智,因为该股在过去五年中下跌了51%。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:“短期市场是一台投票机,但长期市场是一台称重机”。检查市场情绪如何随时间推移变化的一种方式是查看公司股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Shanghai AiyingshiLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.2% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 13% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.
在股价下跌的五年期间,上海爱婴室有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.2%。读者应该注意到,股价下降的速度比EPS快,以每年13%的速度下跌。这意味着市场先前对该股持有过于乐观态度。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Shanghai AiyingshiLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我们知道上海爱婴室有最近改善了其底线,但它是否会增长营业收入? 您可以查看这份免费报告,展示分析师的营业收入预测。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai AiyingshiLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -46%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报之外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,而TSR还包括分红的价值(假定它们被再投资)以及任何折价的股本增发或分拆的好处。 可以说,TSR提供了一个更全面的股票回报图景。 我们注意到,对于上海爱婴室而言,过去5年的TSR为-46%,这优于上述提到的股价回报。 毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Shanghai AiyingshiLtd's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 8.8%. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 8%, which was endured over half a decade. We're pretty skeptical of turnaround stories, but it's good to see the recent share price recovery. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai AiyingshiLtd you should know about.
上海爱婴室的TSR在一年内基本与市场平均水平持平,为8.8%。 积极看待,这种增长令人高兴,并且肯定胜过近半个世纪承受的年化TSR亏损8%。 我们对企业转型故事颇具怀疑,但看到最近股价的复苏还是令人欣慰的。 我发现长期来看股价作为业务绩效的代理非常有趣。 但为了真正获得深入洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。 例如,考虑风险。 每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了上海爱婴室的2个警示信号,您应该了解。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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