Ciena's (NYSE:CIEN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 78% Return Over the Last Five Years
Ciena's (NYSE:CIEN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 78% Return Over the Last Five Years
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 78% over five years, which is below the market return. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 63% over the last year.
以长期投资为主要目标的主要目标是赚钱。 但更重要的是,您可能希望看到它的涨幅超过市场平均水平。 但纽交所:CIEN的Ciena公司未能达到这第二个目标,其股价在五年内上涨了78%,低于市场回报率。然而,最近买入的投资者可能会对过去一年里股价上涨63%感到满意。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:“短期市场是一台投票机,但长期市场是一台称重机”。检查市场情绪如何随时间推移变化的一种方式是查看公司股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Ciena actually saw its EPS drop 9.2% per year.
在股价增长的五年里,Ciena实际上看到其每股收益每年下降9.2%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
实际上,投资者似乎并没有关注EPS。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。
On the other hand, Ciena's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 4.2% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
另一方面,Ciena的营业收入增长相当不错,在过去五年中以4.2%的复合增长率增长。在这种情况下,该公司可能正在牺牲当前每股收益来推动增长。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
Ciena is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Ciena stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
Ciena已经为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师努力预测未来的利润水平。如果您在考虑购买或卖出Ciena股票,您应该查看此免费报告,显示分析师对未来利润的共识估计。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's nice to see that Ciena shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 63% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ciena , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
看到Ciena股东在过去一年内获得63%的股东总回报真是太好了。这比过去半个世纪每年12%的年化回报要好,这意味着该公司最近表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会认为股东最近的改善暗示着业务本身随着时间正在变得更好。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的一种代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险一直存在。我们已经发现了Ciena的2个警示信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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