The Zhejiang Fenglong Electric Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002931) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider Zhejiang Fenglong Electric as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Zhejiang Fenglong Electric Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Fenglong Electric over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Fenglong Electric, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S
Zhejiang Fenglong Electric's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Zhejiang Fenglong Electric revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Fenglong Electric (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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