These 4 Measures Indicate That Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300475) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300475) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300475) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾说过,“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于您是否会遭受到永久性的资本损失。”因此,聪明人都知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,香农芯创科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300475)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务到底带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人的债务,那么它将处于债权人的慈悲之下。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”过程,即失败的企业被银行无情清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是企业不得不以低价发行新股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要看其现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?
香农芯创科技有限公司的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd had CN¥2.23b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.96b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.02b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.21b.
您可以单击下方的图表查看历史数据,但以2024年9月为准,香农芯创科技有限公司的债务为人民币22.3亿,比一年前的人民币19.6亿增加。然而,它拥有10.2亿人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,从而产生大约12.1亿人民币的净债务。
How Healthy Is Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
香农芯创的资产负债表健康状况如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.37b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥321.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.02b and CN¥4.90b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥776.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
进一步查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,香农芯创有中国货币63.7亿的短期债务,以及超过12个月之后到期的32180万人民币的长期债务。 另一方面,它持有10.2亿人民币的现金和49亿人民币的应收账款,其中有一年内到期的。 因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出77650万人民币。
Given Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥16.7b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
考虑到香农芯创的市值为167亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。 但是有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续监控资产负债表情况。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。
Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd grew its EBIT by 119% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
香农芯创的净负债仅为其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的1.3倍。 其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出超过19.6倍。 所以我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到放心。 更好的是,去年香农芯创的EBIT增长了119%,这是一个令人印象深刻的进步。 这种增长会使未来偿还债务变得更容易。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。 但更重要的是,未来的盈利将决定香农芯创能否保持健康的资产负债表。 因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测的免费报告非常有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用现金支付债务,而不是会计利润。 因此,我们总是检查EBIT转化为自由现金流的比例。 在过去的三年中,香农芯创的自由现金流出现大幅负增长。 尽管这可能是为了增长的支出所致,但这确实使债务更加风险。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
香农芯创有令人印象深刻的利息保障倍数,这意味着它在债务方面具备上风。但事实残酷的是,我们对其EBIt转化为自由现金流感到担忧。综合考虑所有上述因素,我们认为香农芯创可以相对轻松地处理其债务。从积极的方面来看,这种杠杆可以提升股东回报,但潜在的风险是更大的损失风险,因此值得监控资产负债表。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。一个例子是:我们发现了香农芯创的1个警示信号,您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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