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Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600679) Has Fared Decently But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead For The Stock?

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600679) Has Fared Decently But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead For The Stock?

凤凰b股(集团)有限公司(SHSE:600679)表现尚可,但基本面令人担忧:股票前景如何?
Simply Wall St ·  10/27 20:46

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600679) stock up by 8.0% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE.

凤凰b股(集团)(SHSE:600679)股价在过去三个月内上涨了8.0%。然而,公司的财务状况看起来有些不一致,市场结果最终取决于长期基本面,这意味着股票可能会朝任何方向发展。在本文中,我们决定关注凤凰b股(集团)的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或roe是一项关键指标,用于评估公司管理层使用公司资本的效率。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

roe可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is:

因此,根据上述公式,凤凰b股(SHSE:600679)的roe为:

2.8% = CN¥64m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.8% = 6400万人民币 ÷ 22亿人民币 (基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

'回报'是过去12个月的利润。这意味着,对于每一元股东权益,该公司产生了0.03元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定ROE作为一个高效的盈利规模可以评估公司未来的收益。根据公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来盈利的能力。假设其他所有条件均保持不变,ROE和利润留存率越高,相对于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE

凤凰b股集团的盈利增长和2.8%的roe

As you can see, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.1%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s five year net income decline of 28% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

正如您所看到的,凤凰b股集团的roe看起来相当弱。不仅如此,甚至与行业平均值6.1%相比,公司的roe也是毫无亮点。因此,凤凰b股集团五年净利润下降28%并不令人意外,考虑到其较低的roe。然而,导致盈利下降的原因还可能包括其他因素。比如 - 低净利润留存率或资本配置不当。

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance with the industry and found thatShanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 2.6% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

作为下一步,我们将凤凰b股集团的表现与行业进行比较,发现即便与行业相比,凤凰b股集团的表现令人沮丧,该行业在同期以2.6%的速度缩减盈利,比公司慢。

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SHSE:600679 Past Earnings Growth October 28th 2024
SHSE:600679历史数据2024年10月28日盈利增长

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是估值股票时重要的指标。投资者应该设法确定市场对预期盈利增长或下降的定价是否合理,从而帮助他们判断股票的未来是光明还是暗淡。预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,根据盈利前景决定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能想要检查凤凰b股是否以高市盈率或低市盈率交易,相对于其所在行业。

Is Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

凤凰b股是否有效利用留存收益?

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that it retains the remaining 80% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

凤凰b股低三年中位数红利支付比率为20%(意味着其留下80%的利润),当您将其与萎缩的盈利相结合时,这一低红利支付比率令人惊讶。低红利支付应意味着公司保留了大部分利润,因此应该会有一些增长。因此,可能存在一些其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,凤凰b股连续支付了三年的股息,这是相当长的一段时间,表明管理层必须认为股东更倾向于稳定的股息,即便盈利一直在下降。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来看,我们认为凤凰b股(集团)展示的表现可以有许多种解读。虽然公司保留利润的率高,但其低回报率可能妨碍了其盈利增长。总结一下,我们会谨慎对待这家公司,而其中一种方式是查看该业务的风险概况。要了解我们为凤凰b股(集团)确定的一个风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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